TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Rudomina vs Mateusz Trela 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119811118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched: 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
116119811118––
H2H Kamil Rudomina 12–11 Mateusz Trela Mateusz Trela has won 11 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5863.9%Our read67.6%to break even at 1.48
short by 3.7pp67.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.48 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (63%)
Rudomina
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-11 in 23
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1404 vs Trela 1313
Rudomina
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 0% vs Trela 40%
Trela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 20% vs Trela 50%
Trela
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -6 · Trela -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Rudomina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (0%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 1.48 / Trela 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Rudomina)-3.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13281423
Rudomina1.48
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 201 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it96% 94 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it78% 144 of 184
Trela2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 126 of 309
Down 0–1, comes back27% 46 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back9% 7 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina5wins
AwayTrela5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina66.7%4 of 6
AwayTrela75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina6Trela4n = 10Rudomina took 6 of 10
S2Rudomina4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S3Rudomina4Trela6n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Rudomina3Trela5n = 8Trela took 5 of 8
S5Rudomina3Trela1n = 4Rudomina took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaTrelaR − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.2+1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime964 / 2081 vs 815 / 166746.3%48.9%964 / 2081 vs 815 / 1667Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaRudomina 1.48/Trela 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 22:15K. Rudomina47111186113M. Trela4598111162
WAug 30 · 17:45K. Rudomina331111113M. Trela197570
LJul 31 · 16:55K. Rudomina338101141M. Trela4011126113
LJul 26 · 23:45K. Rudomina4711911792M. Trela47811611113
WJul 26 · 21:20K. Rudomina521111811113M. Trela4231311962
WJul 10 · 06:55K. Rudomina571591111113M. Trela4817116682
WJul 10 · 04:30K. Rudomina3911116113M. Trela32661191
LFeb 15 · 11:30K. Rudomina378117111M. Trela4411911133
LFeb 15 · 07:40K. Rudomina2611780M. Trela351311113
LFeb 15 · 05:10K. Rudomina32117861M. Trela4071111113
K. Rudomina10
LOct 11 · 18:30J. Zochniak1.441111113K. Rudomina2.607490LOct 11 · 17:45R. Stapor1.8411911133K. Rudomina1.888119111LOct 11 · 16:55K. Rudomina2.851013121192M. Kolek1.381211147113LOct 11 · 15:50K. Rudomina1.83131220M. Kukawka1.831514113LOct 10 · 01:10K. Rudomina2.501151081M. Kolek1.5071112113LOct 10 · 00:20K. Rudomina2.75711671K. Staszczyk1.4011711113WOct 9 · 22:50K. Rudomina1.441111113J. Wozniak2.633330LOct 9 · 22:30K. Rudomina2.3891121192M. Marchlewski1.53116119113LOct 9 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.4011116113K. Rudomina2.75651181WOct 9 · 20:30K. Rudomina2.38611113113M. Kolek1.5311781182
M. Trela10
LOct 11 · 19:20M. Kolek1.1991213113M. Trela4.3011101161LOct 11 · 17:20J. Zochniak1.2311119113M. Trela3.90661181LOct 11 · 16:35M. Kukawka1.441111113M. Trela2.504940WOct 11 · 15:00R. Stapor1.361111111182M. Trela2.85139137113WOct 9 · 00:10M. Trela1.801111123M. Skorski1.9087100WOct 8 · 23:20M. Trela1.671113113J. Rolak1.9591160WOct 8 · 21:55M. Trela1.6411113123P. Krukar1.999911101WOct 8 · 21:30M. Trela1.90513119113D. Poloszczanski1.80111171182LOct 8 · 20:30M. Trela1.7510911151J. Rolak1.9812118173LOct 8 · 18:55M. Trela1.65118561P. Krukar2.1051111113
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