TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Przewlocki vs Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118411116––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
117118411116––
H2H Jacek Przewlocki 51–31 Bartlomiej Wisniewski Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 31 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
short by 4.8pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
51-31 in 82
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 20 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1231 vs Wisniewski 1257
Wisniewski
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Wisniewski 40%
Wisniewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Wisniewski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Wisniewski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.70 / Wisniewski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)-4.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13273186
Przewlocki1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 110 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it71% 81 of 114
Wisniewski1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog37% won 161 of 441
Down 0–1, comes back16% 42 of 260
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki6wins
AwayWisniewski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5
AwayWisniewski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki9Wisniewski1n = 10Przewlocki took 9 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Wisniewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki3Wisniewski4n = 7Wisniewski took 4 of 7
S5Przewlocki2Wisniewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiWisniewskiP − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.0+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiWisniewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 1050 vs 873 / 185448.3%47.1%507 / 1050 vs 873 / 1854Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.70/Wisniewski 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 10 · 06:55J. Przewlocki3711114113B. Wisniewski32781161
LSep 26 · 10:10J. Przewlocki391212961B. Wisniewski46101411113
WSep 26 · 06:55J. Przewlocki351111133B. Wisniewski2797110
WSep 18 · 04:10J. Przewlocki331111113B. Wisniewski248790
LSep 14 · 03:25J. Przewlocki3741112552B. Wisniewski481151011113
WSep 12 · 03:00J. Przewlocki55911159113B. Wisniewski50116131192
WAug 22 · 10:35J. Przewlocki496111011113B. Wisniewski3911512562
WAug 22 · 05:40J. Przewlocki331111113B. Wisniewski219930
LAug 16 · 03:00J. Przewlocki399111271B. Wisniewski4311714113
LAug 8 · 13:30J. Przewlocki49711711132B. Wisniewski50119114153
J. Przewlocki10
LOct 10 · 05:40J. Przewlocki1.85111171592W. Iwasyszyn1.851361113113WOct 10 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.95121114113D. Wrobel1.7710131281LOct 10 · 03:00J. Przewlocki1.90611111162A. Szoltysek1.75111377113LOct 6 · 00:35J. Przewlocki1.859811151K. Golaszewski1.8511112173LOct 5 · 23:45K. Sulkowski1.65114812113J. Przewlocki2.10711111072WOct 5 · 22:35J. Przewlocki1.7811118113M. Kowalczyk1.93571141LOct 5 · 21:55B. Kwodawski1.651111113J. Przewlocki2.052640WOct 5 · 19:40J. Przewlocki1.71115119113P. Strus2.0081141162LOct 5 · 18:30J. Przewlocki1.806101171K. Golaszewski1.9011127113WOct 5 · 17:20J. Przewlocki1.99111211113K. Sulkowski1.744101361
B. Wisniewski10
WOct 10 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.9511114113A. Szoltysek1.77791191WOct 10 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn1.8588110B. Wisniewski1.851111133LOct 9 · 07:40B. Wisniewski1.717113101D. Wrobel2.0011511123LOct 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40138741F. Krcil1.50111111113LOct 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.7011611962K. Klocek2.00611811113WOct 9 · 04:10K. Sulkowski1.8586100B. Wisniewski1.801111123LOct 9 · 03:25B. Wisniewski3.103880J. Lamperski1.321111113LOct 8 · 08:15M. Lukaszewski1.3211813113B. Wisniewski3.106111181LOct 8 · 07:20M. Kukawka1.403B. Wisniewski2.750LOct 8 · 05:15J. Lamperski1.4591111123B. Wisniewski2.551167101
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