TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Cezary Pawlik vs Krzysztof Malcher 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161181012118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1161181012118––
H2H Cezary Pawlik 4–1 Krzysztof Malcher Krzysztof Malcher has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Pawlik beat Malcher 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Malcher form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (26%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.23 / Malcher 3.80
TT Elite Series · #13272265
Pawlik1.23
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 133 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 128
Malcher3.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 31 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePawlik4wins
AwayMalcher1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderPawlik leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%3 of 3
AwayMalchern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik3Malcher2n = 5Pawlik took 3 of 5
S2Pawlik5Malcher0n = 5Pawlik took 5 of 5
S3Pawlik5Malcher0n = 5Pawlik took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPawlikMalcherP − MBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match38.626.0+12.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikMalcherBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 556 vs 46 / 13259.2%34.9%329 / 556 vs 46 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.533.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikPawlik 1.23/Malcher 3.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 9 · 20:45C. Pawlik331111113K. Malcher84220
WOct 3 · 00:25C. Pawlik351113113K. Malcher1621130
WOct 2 · 20:45C. Pawlik46121112113K. Malcher361471051
WSep 13 · 02:00C. Pawlik331111113K. Malcher187470
LSep 12 · 16:25C. Pawlik4661211892K. Malcher521110911113
C. Pawlik10
LOct 9 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.9012118101O. Jedrzejowski1.7514811123LOct 9 · 22:00J. Skorupa2.4171911123C. Pawlik1.5111179101WOct 9 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.251111113K. Malcher3.454220WOct 9 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.5711117133M. Krutak2.206711111WOct 9 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.501111113J. Skorupa2.356550WOct 9 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0081112113J. Oracz1.731181081WOct 9 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.3311148113O. Jedrzejowski1.549121151LOct 4 · 02:00J. Oracz1.65116511113C. Pawlik2.1061111762WOct 4 · 01:10M. Baran2.40681181C. Pawlik1.5011115113WOct 4 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.1511711113A. Szurgot5.00711251
K. Malcher10
LOct 9 · 23:10J. Skorupa1.601111123K. Malcher2.1568100WOct 9 · 21:35J. Oracz1.6111811992K. Malcher2.19511911113LOct 9 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.251111113K. Malcher3.454220WOct 9 · 19:35K. Malcher3.0511611123O. Jedrzejowski1.324117101WOct 9 · 18:25M. Krutak1.3711891172K. Malcher2.80711116113LOct 9 · 17:10J. Skorupa1.5511127113K. Malcher2.305101161LOct 9 · 15:35J. Oracz1.171111113K. Malcher4.503580LOct 3 · 02:45M. Wozniczka1.611111113K. Malcher2.207830LOct 3 · 01:35K. Malcher4.551111111142T. Kocik1.15138135113LOct 3 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.261113113K. Malcher3.6021130
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