TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Skorupa vs Cezary Pawlik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71119171191210––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
71119171191210––
H2H Jakub Skorupa 4–8 Cezary Pawlik Jakub Skorupa has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Pawlik beat Skorupa 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorupa 2.41 / Pawlik 1.51
TT Elite Series · #13271761
Skorupa2.41
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 107 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 107
Pawlik1.51
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 133 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it81% 103 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorupa4wins
AwayPawlik6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorupa50%2 of 4
AwayPawlik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorupa4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S2Skorupa5Pawlik5n = 10split evenly
S3Skorupa2Pawlik8n = 10Pawlik took 8 of 10
S4Skorupa4Pawlik4n = 8split evenly
S5Skorupa2Pawlik1n = 3Skorupa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorupaPawlikS − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.839.1−2.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorupaPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 730 vs 329 / 55447.8%59.4%349 / 730 vs 329 / 554Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikSkorupa 2.41/Pawlik 1.51
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Skorupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 18:00J. Skorupa166550C. Pawlik331111113
LOct 3 · 22:00J. Skorupa228590C. Pawlik331111113
LOct 3 · 18:00J. Skorupa381291161C. Pawlik4014114113
LAug 29 · 21:35J. Skorupa4211951162C. Pawlik49811118113
WAug 29 · 15:35J. Skorupa4071111113C. Pawlik31114791
WJul 5 · 01:10J. Skorupa50911811113C. Pawlik4811911892
LJul 4 · 19:10J. Skorupa38911991C. Pawlik3911611113
LMar 20 · 22:35J. Skorupa27116551C. Pawlik4291111113
WMar 20 · 16:35J. Skorupa50111558113C. Pawlik45413111162
WFeb 14 · 00:10J. Skorupa45111112113C. Pawlik31651461
J. Skorupa10
LOct 9 · 20:20J. Skorupa2.2511391192O. Jedrzejowski1.57911119113LOct 9 · 18:45J. Oracz1.261111113J. Skorupa3.506680LOct 9 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.501111113J. Skorupa2.356550WOct 9 · 17:10J. Skorupa1.5511127113K. Malcher2.305101161LOct 9 · 16:00J. Skorupa2.1011118972M. Krutak1.65771111113LOct 4 · 02:20J. Skorupa2.106470A. Kubiak1.661111113WOct 4 · 00:45J. Oracz1.301211981J. Skorupa3.2514911113WOct 4 · 00:00M. Baran1.9011115832J. Skorupa1.80891111113WOct 3 · 23:10J. Skorupa1.331110118113A. Szurgot3.0021261172LOct 3 · 22:00J. Skorupa2.508590C. Pawlik1.451111113
C. Pawlik10
WOct 9 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.251111113K. Malcher3.454220WOct 9 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.5711117133M. Krutak2.206711111WOct 9 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.501111113J. Skorupa2.356550WOct 9 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.0081112113J. Oracz1.731181081WOct 9 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.3311148113O. Jedrzejowski1.549121151LOct 4 · 02:00J. Oracz1.65116511113C. Pawlik2.1061111762WOct 4 · 01:10M. Baran2.40681181C. Pawlik1.5011115113WOct 4 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.1511711113A. Szurgot5.00711251WOct 3 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.401111133A. Kubiak2.7565110WOct 3 · 22:00J. Skorupa2.508590C. Pawlik1.451111113
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