TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Sulkowski vs Frantisek Krcil 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511116117511116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:36 and never touched: 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Krcil to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
511116117511116
H2H Karol Sulkowski 1–0 Frantisek Krcil Frantisek Krcil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:3660.2%Our read58.5%to break even at 1.71
clears by 1.7pp58.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.71 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1265 vs Krcil 1362
Krcil
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 20% vs Krcil 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 30% vs Krcil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -4 · Krcil -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Krcil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.02 / Krcil 1.71
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Krcil)+1.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13267490
Sulkowski2.02
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest63%takes the first set · 5 of 8
As underdog36% won 139 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back15% 36 of 236
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 131
Krcil1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 14 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSulkowski1wins
AwayKrcil0wins
Sulkowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSulkowskiKrcilS − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime659 / 1344 vs 184 / 41449%44.4%659 / 1344 vs 184 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.735.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilSulkowski 2.02/Krcil 1.71
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WFeb 24 · 05:55K. Sulkowski341111123F. Krcil2376100
K. Sulkowski10
LOct 9 · 04:10K. Sulkowski1.8586100B. Wisniewski1.801111123LOct 9 · 03:00K. Sulkowski2.25118291K. Klocek1.5451111113LOct 8 · 07:55J. Lamperski1.413K. Sulkowski2.601LOct 8 · 06:55B. Warpas1.753K. Sulkowski1.980WOct 8 · 06:05K. Sulkowski2.601111113M. Kukawka1.429890WOct 8 · 04:30K. Sulkowski1.631413113B. Wisniewski2.15121170LOct 8 · 03:50M. Lukaszewski1.951111113K. Sulkowski1.759990LOct 7 · 13:55K. Sulkowski2.95118571R. Stapor1.3561111113LOct 7 · 12:40K. Sulkowski2.6051060M. Kukawka1.411112113WOct 7 · 11:25K. Sulkowski2.6011311113M. Minda1.44611871
F. Krcil10
LOct 9 · 04:55F. Krcil2.2012450J. Lamperski1.601411113LOct 9 · 03:50F. Krcil—391191D. Wrobel—11118113LOct 2 · 14:40F. Krcil2.007430K. Kufel1.721111113WOct 2 · 13:05F. Krcil1.601011112123J. Przewlocki2.15129511102LOct 2 · 11:50F. Krcil1.988711111J. Zochniak1.7311117133WOct 2 · 10:10F. Krcil1.601111113B. Warpas2.159670WOct 2 · 09:00F. Krcil2.3011116113B. Czerwinski1.52791141LOct 2 · 07:40R. Stapor1.66121011113F. Krcil2.101012771LOct 2 · 06:55B. Warpas1.6011113113F. Krcil2.21961181WOct 2 · 06:05F. Krcil1.51118116113J. Przewlocki2.4041191162
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