TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Saleny vs Adam Brazda 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:28 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Brazda to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Saleny above · Adam Brazda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Adam Brazda at 54.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Saleny 3–5 Adam Brazda Petr Saleny has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Brazda beat Saleny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2854.1%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.7pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Saleny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Brazda
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saleny 1678 vs Brazda 1598
Saleny
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saleny 60% vs Brazda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saleny 60% vs Brazda 40%
Saleny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saleny -1 · Brazda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Brazda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaleny 1.80 / Brazda 1.909
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Saleny)-9.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13265457
Saleny1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 56 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it83% 43 of 52
Brazda1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back31% 15 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSaleny3wins
AwayBrazda5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderBrazda leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSalenyn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBrazda57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saleny1Brazda7n = 8Brazda took 7 of 8
S2Saleny4Brazda4n = 8split evenly
S3Saleny3Brazda5n = 8Brazda took 5 of 8
S4Saleny5Brazda2n = 7Saleny took 5 of 7
S5Saleny2Brazda2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSalenyBrazdaS − BBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match39.843.5−3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSalenyBrazdaBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 386 vs 186 / 40250.3%46.3%194 / 386 vs 186 / 402Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrazdaSaleny 1.80/Brazda 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Brazda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Brazda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 8 · 16:30P. Saleny46491211102A. Brazda511111107123
LSep 6 · 11:30P. Saleny35119961A. Brazda3961111113
WMar 9 · 17:00P. Saleny609101111193A. Brazda56111288172
WFeb 9 · 18:30P. Saleny44411711113A. Brazda4411811862
WFeb 9 · 15:30P. Saleny3631111113A. Brazda33119761
LOct 23 · 18:00P. Saleny4451191182A. Brazda47118116113
LOct 16 · 21:30P. Saleny31514661A. Brazda45111211113
LOct 16 · 20:00P. Saleny229940A. Brazda331111113
P. Saleny10
LOct 8 · 16:30P. Saleny1.83491211102A. Brazda1.831111107123WOct 8 · 15:00P. Saleny2.381051111113M. Wagner1.5312116872WOct 8 · 14:00M. Klement1.8064111192P. Saleny1.91111199113LSep 29 · 21:30P. Saleny1.91111111292M. Wagner1.80119814113WSep 29 · 20:30J. Louda1.80118451P. Saleny1.9161111113WSep 29 · 19:30P. Saleny1.4013911113S. Kasnik2.751111491WSep 29 · 18:30M. Wagner1.73591161P. Saleny2.0011119113LSep 29 · 17:30P. Saleny1.5071151162M. Pikous2.40118113113LSep 29 · 16:30J. Zuzanek2.3811911113P. Saleny1.53911691WSep 29 · 15:30P. Saleny1.5311118113M. Pikous2.38771161
A. Brazda10
WOct 8 · 16:30P. Saleny1.83491211102A. Brazda1.831111107123LOct 8 · 15:30A. Brazda2.634440M. Klement1.441111113WOct 8 · 14:30M. Wagner1.83116211102A. Brazda1.83711118123LOct 7 · 17:30M. Pikous1.484111011113A. Brazda2.4511412392WOct 7 · 16:30A. Brazda2.25811129113V. Cermak1.57112101182WOct 7 · 15:00A. Brazda1.80911118113J. Pozarsky1.9111761152LOct 7 · 14:00M. Pikous1.5081111113A. Brazda2.50119971LOct 5 · 20:58M. Klement1.501111113A. Brazda2.504430LOct 5 · 20:30M. Klement1.48111112113A. Brazda2.45961451LOct 5 · 19:30A. Brazda1.577590M. Vondrak2.251111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Saleny
A. Brazda
Nothing scheduled
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