TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Krukar vs Waclaw Suchecki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Krukar to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210116––––
H2H Piotr Krukar 2–1 Waclaw Suchecki Waclaw Suchecki has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Krukar beat Suchecki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:4459.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.57
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.57 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krukar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krukar 1240 vs Suchecki 1159
Krukar
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krukar 60% vs Suchecki 20%
Krukar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krukar 60% vs Suchecki 30%
Krukar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krukar +3 · Suchecki -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Krukar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Suchecki form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrukar 1.57 / Suchecki 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Krukar)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13261978
Krukar1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 15 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Suchecki2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 33 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKrukar2wins
AwaySuchecki1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKrukar leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krukar2Suchecki1n = 3Krukar took 2 of 3
S2Krukar3Suchecki0n = 3Krukar took 3 of 3
S3Krukar1Suchecki2n = 3Suchecki took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKrukarSucheckiK − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match41.329.3+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrukarSucheckiBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 62 vs 119 / 31240.3%38.1%25 / 62 vs 119 / 312Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKrukar 1.57/Suchecki 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 7 · 20:05P. Krukar4111118113W. Suchecki26541161
WOct 3 · 10:35P. Krukar341211113W. Suchecki2010550
LOct 3 · 03:00P. Krukar49811911102W. Suchecki42113115123
P. Krukar10
WOct 7 · 21:05P. Krukar2.1816811133M. Trela1.6214115111WOct 7 · 20:05W. Suchecki2.00541161P. Krukar1.7211118113WOct 7 · 19:20B. Mrugala1.8571214852P. Krukar1.8511101211113LOct 7 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8811118133P. Krukar1.842511111LOct 7 · 16:35P. Strus2.00141110113P. Krukar1.701221251LOct 7 · 15:00M. Trela1.701111113P. Krukar2.003990WOct 4 · 14:20T. Piotrowski1.84114511122P. Krukar1.87911117143LOct 4 · 13:30W. Iwasyszyn1.901112113P. Krukar1.8081040WOct 4 · 11:25A. Szoltysek1.808115111P. Krukar1.9011511133WOct 4 · 10:35A. Eliasz1.956940P. Krukar1.771111113
W. Suchecki10
LOct 7 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.94811118123W. Suchecki1.78116911102LOct 7 · 20:05W. Suchecki2.00541161P. Krukar1.7211118113LOct 7 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk1.99131111113W. Suchecki1.74158571LOct 7 · 17:45M. Trela1.5781111143W. Suchecki2.201168121WOct 7 · 16:55W. Suchecki2.10911614113B. Mrugala1.65117111282LOct 7 · 15:50W. Suchecki2.009930P. Strus1.711111113WOct 3 · 13:55J. Rolak1.53411391W. Suchecki2.3511811113LOct 3 · 13:05M. Zwolinski1.701011611113W. Suchecki2.0512811892WOct 3 · 11:00W. Suchecki2.1711712113A. Eliasz1.629111061LOct 3 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.1010550P. Krukar1.601211113
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