TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Rafal Skotniczny vs Rafal Idaczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311711711––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:25 and never touched: 70.2% is still 70.2%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
70.2%
70.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
311711711––––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 29–15 Rafal Idaczyk Rafal Idaczyk has won 15 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2570.2%Our read68.0%to break even at 1.47
clears by 2.2pp68.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.47 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Skotniczny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-15 in 44
Skotniczny
Wrong
gap of 14 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1531 vs Idaczyk 1281
Skotniczny
Wrong
both rated, 250 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 80% vs Idaczyk 20%
Skotniczny
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 70% vs Idaczyk 40%
Skotniczny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny +4 · Idaczyk -1
Skotniczny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Strong (leans Skotniczny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.47 / Idaczyk 2.40
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Skotniczny)+2.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13252841
Skotniczny1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 217 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it95% 114 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 166 of 203
Idaczyk2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 112 of 307
Down 0–1, comes back15% 28 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkotniczny8wins
AwayIdaczyk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkotniczny85.7%6 of 7
AwayIdaczyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skotniczny7Idaczyk3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S2Skotniczny7Idaczyk3n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Skotniczny5Idaczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Skotniczny6Idaczyk1n = 7Skotniczny took 6 of 7
S5Skotniczny2Idaczyk1n = 3Skotniczny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkotnicznyIdaczykS − IBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.731.8+7.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznyIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime625 / 1053 vs 489 / 98459.4%49.7%625 / 1053 vs 489 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.47/Idaczyk 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.2%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 06:45R. Skotniczny331111113R. Idaczyk147520
WJun 16 · 06:45R. Skotniczny471041111113R. Idaczyk4312119652
WJun 15 · 14:20R. Skotniczny4181111113R. Idaczyk33117691
LJun 2 · 12:45R. Skotniczny4311881242R. Idaczyk529111110113
WJun 2 · 10:20R. Skotniczny331111113R. Idaczyk178360
WMay 22 · 09:05R. Skotniczny4111118113R. Idaczyk30671161
WApr 28 · 13:55R. Skotniczny331111113R. Idaczyk171790
LApr 28 · 07:55R. Skotniczny361111591R. Idaczyk4213711113
WApr 17 · 15:05R. Skotniczny51119911113R. Idaczyk4481111592
WApr 17 · 09:05R. Skotniczny3911116113R. Idaczyk26731151
R. Skotniczny10
WOct 6 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.858980R. Skotniczny1.351111113WOct 6 · 03:35R. Skotniczny1.121111113M. Cesarz4.954450WOct 5 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.7511119113P. Polok1.90471161WOct 5 · 15:05Y. Fomin2.2581060R. Skotniczny1.571112113LOct 5 · 14:20J. Pelka2.1011714113R. Skotniczny1.658111261WOct 5 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4091115113J. Kaczmarek2.751181371LOct 5 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751011111092G. Wichowski1.98123612113LOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.30911061R. Skotniczny1.5211811113WOct 5 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.876511121R. Skotniczny1.8311119143
R. Idaczyk10
LOct 6 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.83117116113R. Idaczyk1.8771181162WOct 6 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.40781151R. Idaczyk1.4711118113LOct 4 · 14:20R. Idaczyk1.837540W. Buczynski1.831111113LOct 4 · 12:40W. Wojtaszczyk1.40118911113R. Idaczyk2.7561111892LOct 4 · 11:50P. Polok1.3311127113R. Idaczyk3.257101121LOct 4 · 11:00R. Idaczyk1.8313117582J. Jesiek1.831141111113LOct 4 · 09:50R. Idaczyk2.105640D. Swider1.671111113WOct 4 · 08:10R. Idaczyk1.731111113W. Buczynski2.009690WOct 4 · 06:30W. Wojtaszczyk1.408940R. Idaczyk2.751111113WOct 4 · 05:40D. Swider1.5778100R. Idaczyk2.251111123
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