TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Kowalski vs Wojciech Urban 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811611113118611
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
811611113118611
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–5 Wojciech Urban Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Urban beat Kowalski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 3.35 / Urban 1.27
TT Elite Series · #13252826
Kowalski3.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 34 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back7% 9 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Urban1.27
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 184 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it76% 134 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKowalski0wins
AwayUrban5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderUrban leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalski1Urban4n = 5Urban took 4 of 5
S2Kowalski1Urban4n = 5Urban took 4 of 5
S3Kowalski1Urban4n = 5Urban took 4 of 5
S4Kowalski1Urban2n = 3Urban took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKowalskiUrbanK − UBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match29.040.6−11.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 199 vs 825 / 173618.1%47.5%36 / 199 vs 825 / 1736Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanKowalski 3.35/Urban 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LOct 5 · 22:40K. Kowalski3541110101W. Urban4411912123
LOct 5 · 04:40K. Kowalski173860W. Urban331111113
LOct 4 · 22:40K. Kowalski3711631162W. Urban49911117113
LAug 1 · 01:25K. Kowalski354911111W. Urban4411119133
LJul 31 · 19:20K. Kowalski216690W. Urban331111113
K. Kowalski10
LOct 6 · 03:05K. Adamus1.1815129123K. Kowalski4.10131011101WOct 6 · 01:50D. Dytko1.329740K. Kowalski3.001111113LOct 6 · 01:10K. Kowalski5.109119101P. Gumulinski1.1211911123LOct 6 · 00:10K. Kowalski3.86118741L. Oracz1.2281111113LOct 5 · 22:40K. Kowalski4.6041110101W. Urban1.1711912123LOct 5 · 21:05K. Adamus1.20119911113K. Kowalski4.2091111582WOct 5 · 20:20L. Oracz1.27121111772K. Kowalski3.351013211113WOct 5 · 19:30K. Kowalski5.757101111113P. Gumulinski1.1211124942LOct 5 · 18:20K. Kowalski3.101125111D. Dytko1.3051111133LOct 5 · 04:40K. Kowalski4.803860W. Urban1.161111113
W. Urban10
LOct 6 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.701111113W. Urban2.008560LOct 6 · 01:30K. Adamus1.951212113W. Urban1.75101070WOct 6 · 00:50L. Oracz1.9011670W. Urban1.801311113WOct 5 · 23:30D. Dytko2.08116813102W. Urban1.687111111123WOct 5 · 22:40K. Kowalski4.6041110101W. Urban1.1711912123LOct 5 · 21:55P. Gumulinski1.391111113W. Urban2.757930WOct 5 · 19:55K. Adamus2.259990W. Urban1.551111113WOct 5 · 19:10D. Dytko2.20411121172W. Urban1.601191013113LOct 5 · 17:30L. Oracz1.821111123W. Urban1.8898100WOct 5 · 04:40K. Kowalski4.803860W. Urban1.161111113
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