TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadym Slabyshev vs Denys Boltenkov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118611117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:23 and never touched: 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeVadym Slabyshev to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Slabyshev above · Denys Boltenkov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 74 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Vadym Slabyshev at 73.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Slabyshev 3–0 Denys Boltenkov Denys Boltenkov has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:2373.7%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
short by 1.3pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Slabyshev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Slabyshev
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slabyshev 1511 vs Boltenkov 1357
Slabyshev
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slabyshev 100% vs Boltenkov 80%
Slabyshev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slabyshev 90% vs Boltenkov 60%
Slabyshev
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slabyshev +7 · Boltenkov +2
Slabyshev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Slabyshev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltenkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlabyshev 1.333 / Boltenkov 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Slabyshev)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251308
Slabyshev1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite90% won 9 of 10
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Boltenkov3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 5 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSlabyshev3wins
AwayBoltenkov0wins
Slabyshev leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slabyshev2Boltenkov1n = 3Slabyshev took 2 of 3
S2Slabyshev3Boltenkov0n = 3Slabyshev took 3 of 3
S3Slabyshev2Boltenkov1n = 3Slabyshev took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSlabyshevBoltenkovS − BBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.332.3+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlabyshevBoltenkovBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 33 vs 33 / 6460.6%51.6%20 / 33 vs 33 / 64Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlabyshevSlabyshev 1.33/Boltenkov 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Slabyshev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slabyshev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 1 · 18:55V. Slabyshev48131113113D. Boltenkov431581191
WSep 30 · 18:05V. Slabyshev48111115113D. Boltenkov36771751
WSep 24 · 19:35V. Slabyshev341111123D. Boltenkov1844100
V. Slabyshev10
WOct 6 · 17:35R. Serhyenko2.6311119942V. Slabyshev1.44941111113WOct 6 · 15:35V. Sydorenko2.7551113101V. Slabyshev1.4011915123WOct 6 · 14:35V. Slabyshev1.2591111113A. Azarov3.75117931WOct 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3.7511970V. Slabyshev1.251311113WOct 1 · 19:55V. Husiev2.20981131V. Slabyshev1.6111113113WOct 1 · 18:55D. Boltenkov3.251581191V. Slabyshev1.33131113113WOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113LOct 1 · 15:25V. Chumak1.6711127113V. Slabyshev2.106101171WOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123WSep 30 · 19:05A. Yakovenko1.737480V. Slabyshev2.001111113
D. Boltenkov10
WOct 6 · 18:05D. Boltenkov1.2511713123A. Azarov3.7551111101WOct 6 · 16:05Y. Bielokon2.388870D. Boltenkov1.531111113LOct 6 · 14:05V. Sydorenko2.20121013143D. Boltenkov1.61101211121WOct 6 · 13:05R. Serhyenko3.751113121272D. Boltenkov1.2513111014113WOct 1 · 20:25V. Chumak1.738101161D. Boltenkov2.0011125113LOct 1 · 18:55D. Boltenkov3.251581191V. Slabyshev1.33131113113WOct 1 · 16:55V. Husiev2.5011650D. Boltenkov1.501311113LOct 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.20311119113D. Boltenkov1.6111851192WOct 1 · 13:55Y. Bielokon2.10113751D. Boltenkov1.6781111113LSep 30 · 19:35V. Chumak1.80961211113D. Boltenkov1.91111110952
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