TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Pelka vs Yurij Fomin 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511411911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
511411911––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 14–7 Yurij Fomin Yurij Fomin has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Fomin beat Pelka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.65 / Fomin 2.10
TT Elite Series · #13248666
Pelka1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 92 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it88% 42 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it67% 66 of 99
Fomin2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka7wins
AwayFomin3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka87.5%7 of 8
AwayFominn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka8Fomin2n = 10Pelka took 8 of 10
S2Pelka8Fomin2n = 10Pelka took 8 of 10
S3Pelka5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelka4Fomin4n = 8split evenly
S5Pelka1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaFominP − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.136.6+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaFominBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 945 vs 275 / 56447.4%48.8%448 / 945 vs 275 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.65/Fomin 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 10:20J. Pelka4110116141Y. Fomin4812911163
WJun 1 · 14:20J. Pelka4512119133Y. Fomin4110911111
LJun 1 · 06:20J. Pelka3411112552Y. Fomin47591111113
WJan 19 · 16:55J. Pelka44111174113Y. Fomin3966111152
WJan 19 · 10:55J. Pelka331111113Y. Fomin227690
LDec 29 · 14:55J. Pelka4291111652Y. Fomin46115811113
WDec 29 · 08:55J. Pelka351311113Y. Fomin2211740
WDec 8 · 16:55J. Pelka43111011113Y. Fomin38912981
WDec 8 · 10:55J. Pelka43111110113Y. Fomin32871251
WMay 30 · 11:05J. Pelka4111811113Y. Fomin31411791
J. Pelka10
WOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101LOct 5 · 10:20Y. Fomin2.1012911163J. Pelka1.6510116141LOct 5 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.571311129113J. Pelka2.20159101192LOct 5 · 08:45J. Pelka1.9741171112J. Kaczmarek1.76115119113WOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.75101111113J. Pelka1.90127671LOct 2 · 16:40K. Hetnar1.6611611113J. Pelka2.10811931WOct 2 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.451187131J. Pelka1.4581111153LOct 2 · 13:55P. Wiciok1.9781613113J. Pelka1.7511141161LOct 2 · 13:10G. Wichowski2.0881111113J. Pelka1.68113571
Y. Fomin10
WOct 5 · 11:55Y. Fomin1.29111115113J. Kaczmarek3.30861761WOct 5 · 10:20Y. Fomin2.1012911163J. Pelka1.6510116141LOct 5 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.30911061R. Skotniczny1.5211811113LOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113WOct 5 · 06:45G. Wichowski2.27811681Y. Fomin1.5711611113LOct 5 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.328915121J. Kaczmarek3.05111113143WOct 2 · 08:20Y. Fomin2.4611412113M. Lebek1.495111051WOct 2 · 06:45M. Adamus2.004760Y. Fomin1.731111113LOct 2 · 06:00P. Kurek1.72511711113Y. Fomin2.0011711992WOct 2 · 05:10Y. Fomin1.751111113O. Sokolowski1.959460
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