TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pawel Gola vs Mateusz Galus 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
211118911811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Galus to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
211118911811––
H2H Pawel Gola 33–50 Mateusz Galus Pawel Gola has won 33 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2861.2%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 5.5pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (60%)
Galus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
33-50 in 83
Galus
Correct
gap of 17 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1560 vs Galus 1613
Galus
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 20% vs Galus 60%
Galus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 40% vs Galus 60%
Galus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -3 · Galus +2
Gola
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Galus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.25 / Galus 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Galus)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13246974
Gola2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 67 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back11% 11 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Galus1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 136 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it99% 73 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it78% 102 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola4wins
AwayGalus6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGalus leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola66.7%4 of 6
AwayGalus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola6Galus4n = 10Gola took 6 of 10
S2Gola4Galus6n = 10Galus took 6 of 10
S3Gola2Galus8n = 10Galus took 8 of 10
S4Gola3Galus2n = 5Gola took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaGalusGola − GalusBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.234.9−2.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaGalusBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1189 vs 362 / 68348.6%53%578 / 1189 vs 362 / 683Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GalusGola 2.25/Galus 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Galus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Galus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 12:30P. Gola1936100M. Galus341111123
WOct 2 · 07:00P. Gola4411148113M. Galus388121171
WOct 1 · 11:00P. Gola331111113M. Galus144460
WSep 24 · 10:30P. Gola4111118113M. Galus26521181
LSep 23 · 07:00P. Gola164750M. Galus331111113
LSep 18 · 05:00P. Gola218670M. Galus331111113
WSep 11 · 10:30P. Gola46121310113M. Galus4210111291
LAug 31 · 06:30P. Gola2512760M. Galus361411113
LAug 26 · 13:30P. Gola47118116112M. Galus47511711133
LAug 26 · 11:30P. Gola30154831M. Galus46131111113
P. Gola10
LOct 5 · 05:30P. Gola1.94981181J. Chojnacki1.7811115113LOct 2 · 12:30P. Gola8.7536100M. Galus1.061111123LOct 2 · 11:30P. Gola1.426121061J. Chojnacki2.69111012113WOct 2 · 09:30M. Burkacki4.7261151172P. Gola1.15116115113LOct 2 · 08:30P. Gola1.9112510101M. Lysakowski1.78101112123LOct 2 · 07:30B. Molka2.406131111113P. Gola1.50111113932WOct 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.8511148113M. Galus1.868121171LOct 1 · 13:30D. Stapor1.551111123P. Gola2.3088100WOct 1 · 11:00M. Galus1.604460P. Gola2.201111113WOct 1 · 10:00P. Gola1.50121111113J. Masternak2.35141781
M. Galus10
WOct 5 · 07:00M. Galus1.4091311113S. Wloszek2.521111991WOct 2 · 12:30P. Gola8.7536100M. Galus1.061111123LOct 2 · 12:00M. Galus1.95124100M. Lysakowski1.741411123LOct 2 · 10:00B. Molka1.9571111113M. Galus1.74118571WOct 2 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.353911101M. Galus1.5411119123LOct 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.8511148113M. Galus1.868121171WOct 2 · 06:00M. Galus2.151114512153J. Chojnacki1.637121114132WOct 1 · 13:00M. Galus1.14129119113J. Masternak4.89101181162LOct 1 · 11:00M. Galus1.604460P. Gola2.201111113WOct 1 · 09:30M. Galus1.55131111113M. Burkacki2.30156491
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