TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Nowak vs Wojciech Urban 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811511––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711811511––––
H2H Jakub Nowak 20–43 Wojciech Urban Jakub Nowak has won 20 of their 63 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Urban beat Nowak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.85 / Urban 1.35
TT Elite Series · #13246351
Nowak2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 245 of 674
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 406
Down 0–2, comes back9% 22 of 243
Urban1.35
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 173 of 299
Up 2–0, closes it97% 72 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 125 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak3wins
AwayUrban7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak2Urban8n = 10Urban took 8 of 10
S2Nowak4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S3Nowak3Urban7n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Nowak3Urban4n = 7Urban took 4 of 7
S5Nowak3Urban2n = 5Nowak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakUrbanN − UBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.442.9−5.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1767 vs 816 / 172438%47.3%671 / 1767 vs 816 / 1724Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanNowak 2.85/Urban 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 19:55J. Nowak388101191W. Urban4111127113
LSep 18 · 06:30J. Nowak36761581W. Urban46111113113
WSep 15 · 08:45J. Nowak48711118113W. Urban4011471172
LSep 2 · 04:25J. Nowak2311660W. Urban351311113
LSep 1 · 21:35J. Nowak217680W. Urban331111113
LSep 1 · 05:05J. Nowak4114118352W. Urban521271111113
WAug 31 · 20:45J. Nowak46512711113W. Urban44111011572
WAug 26 · 05:10J. Nowak521611211123W. Urban53187117102
LAug 12 · 05:10J. Nowak4711981272W. Urban529111110113
LAug 11 · 23:10J. Nowak226970W. Urban331111113
J. Nowak10
LOct 5 · 00:45D. Dytko1.551111113J. Nowak2.258570WOct 4 · 23:55J. Nowak2.801217113P. Gumulinski1.37101590LOct 4 · 22:20J. Nowak2.258770D. Dytko1.571111113WOct 4 · 21:05J. Nowak1.85711112113K. Kowalski1.8011591192LOct 4 · 19:55J. Nowak2.808101191W. Urban1.3911127113LOct 4 · 18:45P. Kurek1.5091111113J. Nowak2.40118951WOct 4 · 17:55J. Nowak3.10111211113P. Gumulinski1.307101391LOct 3 · 02:10J. Nowak2.00115116102M. Baron1.73811911123WOct 3 · 00:35O. Vincenec1.831011111192J. Nowak1.83128813113LOct 2 · 23:45K. Juszczyk1.4411118113J. Nowak2.63871151
W. Urban10
WOct 5 · 01:10P. Kurek1.8278111382W. Urban1.881111411113WOct 4 · 23:30D. Dytko1.989160W. Urban1.731111113WOct 4 · 22:40K. Kowalski2.5011631162W. Urban1.45911117113WOct 4 · 21:55P. Gumulinski1.4710711101W. Urban2.5012116123WOct 4 · 19:55J. Nowak2.808101191W. Urban1.3911127113WOct 4 · 19:10D. Dytko2.109920W. Urban1.661111113WOct 4 · 17:30P. Kurek1.9041111882W. Urban1.76119811113WOct 2 · 14:40M. Cesarz3.7555160W. Urban1.251111183LOct 2 · 13:30W. Urban1.83611791K. Schaniel1.8311811113WOct 2 · 12:15P. Adamus1.53911111282W. Urban2.38118714113
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