TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Eliasz vs Piotr Krukar 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911411––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdrian Eliasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
611911411––––
H2H Adrian Eliasz 4–1 Piotr Krukar Piotr Krukar has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Eliasz beat Krukar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:3454.0%Our read51.3%to break even at 1.95
clears by 2.7pp51.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.95 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Krukar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Eliasz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Eliasz 1348 vs Krukar 1194
Eliasz
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Eliasz 80% vs Krukar 40%
Eliasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Eliasz 80% vs Krukar 30%
Eliasz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Eliasz +4 · Krukar +1
Eliasz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Eliasz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.95 / Krukar 1.77
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Eliasz)+2.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13242957
Eliasz1.95
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 67 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Krukar1.77
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 12 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeEliasz4wins
AwayKrukar1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderEliasz leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliaszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrukar33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz2Krukar3n = 5Krukar took 3 of 5
S2Eliasz2Krukar3n = 5Krukar took 3 of 5
S3Eliasz3Krukar2n = 5Eliasz took 3 of 5
S4Eliasz4Krukar0n = 4Eliasz took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricEliaszKrukarE − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match38.838.2+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 909 vs 19 / 5239.1%36.5%355 / 909 vs 19 / 52Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EliaszEliasz 1.95/Krukar 1.77
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Eliasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 4 · 07:20A. Eliasz3911112153P. Krukar377611131
WOct 3 · 11:50A. Eliasz47851211113P. Krukar49111110982
LSep 20 · 15:50A. Eliasz2141160P. Krukar351113113
WSep 19 · 22:55A. Eliasz43111011113P. Krukar36912871
WSep 19 · 15:50A. Eliasz44111111113P. Krukar34136871
A. Eliasz10
WOct 4 · 09:50T. Piotrowski1.7111661182A. Eliasz2.02711116113WOct 4 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.751381171A. Eliasz1.9515115113WOct 4 · 07:20A. Eliasz1.9011112153P. Krukar1.807611131WOct 4 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.90681181A. Eliasz1.7511117113LOct 4 · 04:55W. Iwasyszyn2.606111111113A. Eliasz1.4211139762WOct 4 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski2.00381141A. Eliasz1.7111117113WOct 3 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.801111113M. Skorski1.853570WOct 3 · 18:30A. Eliasz1.51791311113D. Poloszczanski2.40111111982LOct 3 · 17:20A. Eliasz2.1069120M. Trela1.661111143WOct 3 · 16:15K. Sulkowski1.688149111A. Eliasz2.05111211133
P. Krukar10
WOct 4 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0515811101P. Krukar1.6817118123LOct 4 · 08:10W. Iwasyszyn1.851211123P. Krukar1.85109100LOct 4 · 07:20A. Eliasz1.9011112153P. Krukar1.807611131WOct 4 · 05:15M. Lukaszewski1.9596130P. Krukar1.751111153LOct 4 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.9091114113P. Krukar1.801191291LOct 4 · 03:00A. Szoltysek—11166113P. Krukar—3141181LOct 3 · 14:20M. Durda2.1581111123P. Krukar1.611139101LOct 3 · 11:50A. Eliasz—851211113P. Krukar—111110982LOct 3 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6711611113P. Krukar2.10611461WOct 3 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.1010550P. Krukar1.601211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.