TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Durda vs Piotr Krukar 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111131191210––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:14 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Krukar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
8111131191210––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1454.0%Our read62.1%to break even at 1.61
short by 8.1pp62.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.61 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Krukar
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Durda 1242 vs Krukar 1214
Durda
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 20% vs Krukar 40%
Krukar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 30% vs Krukar 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda -1 · Krukar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krukar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krukar form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 2.15 / Krukar 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krukar)-8.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13238545
Durda2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Krukar1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 10 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it70% 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 291 vs 17 / 4571.8%37.8%209 / 291 vs 17 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KrukarDurda 2.15/Krukar 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Durda won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Durda10
LOct 3 · 13:30M. Zwolinski2.051111107113M. Durda1.6587121182WOct 3 · 12:40J. Rolak2.0012111012112M. Durda1.711481210133LOct 3 · 11:00M. Durda1.764111091A. Eliasz1.9511412113LSep 23 · 00:35K. Marchlewski1.901111123M. Durda1.8054100LSep 22 · 22:55M. Skorski2.251212113M. Durda1.57101060LSep 22 · 22:15J. Rolak1.901191212113M. Durda1.80611141042LSep 22 · 21:30W. Gluszek2.151111113M. Durda1.603570WSep 22 · 20:05M. Durda1.661111113M. Skorski2.104870WSep 22 · 18:30K. Marchlewski1.9011128992M. Durda1.807101111113LSep 22 · 17:45W. Gluszek3.451113113M. Durda1.2671110
P. Krukar10
LOct 3 · 11:50A. Eliasz—851211113P. Krukar—111110982LOct 3 · 11:25J. Rolak1.6711611113P. Krukar2.10611461WOct 3 · 10:35W. Suchecki2.1010550P. Krukar1.601211113LOct 3 · 09:00M. Zwolinski1.801011119113P. Krukar1.8512411112WOct 3 · 08:10D. Poloszczanski1.9051191182P. Krukar1.82119117113LOct 3 · 07:20J. Rolak2.00111011113P. Krukar1.70912851LOct 3 · 05:15M. Lukaszewski1.90111199113P. Krukar1.8077111152WOct 3 · 04:30M. Zwolinski1.85119671P. Krukar1.8581111113LOct 3 · 03:00W. Suchecki—113115123P. Krukar—811911102LSep 25 · 00:35P. Krukar1.8991191192M. Skorski1.82114114113
Upcoming Matches
M. Durda
P. Krukar
Nothing scheduled
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