Michal Durda vs Adrian Eliasz 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 3Finished

Michal Durda

Home

1.76

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

4111141012911––

Adrian Eliasz

Away

1.95

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:47 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Michal Durda to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

72 points played in total.

Set by set

4111141012911––

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 10:47

54.0%Our read56.8%to break even at 1.76

short by 2.8pp

56.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.76 they are the same number)

What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.76 (53%)

Durda

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Durda 1253 vs Eliasz 1235

Durda

Wrong

both rated, 18 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Durda 20% vs Eliasz 80%

Eliasz

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Durda 30% vs Eliasz 70%

Eliasz

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Durda -4 · Eliasz +1

Durda

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Durda) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Eliasz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDurda 1.76 / Eliasz 1.95

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Durda)-2.8pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13237841

Durda1.76

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 23) · back after a break

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite73% won 196 of 270

Up 2–0, closes it96% 98 of 102

Up 1–0, closes it89% 138 of 156

Eliasz1.95

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog32% won 64 of 198

Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 120

Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricDurdaEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 288 vs 343 / 89572.2%38.3%208 / 288 vs 343 / 895Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Durda

Durda 1.76/Eliasz 1.95

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Durda · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Eliasz won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Durda10