TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Zbynek Zientek vs Antonin Schneeberger 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611411211––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeAntonin Schneeberger to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingZbynek Zientek above · Antonin Schneeberger below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 62 set 4, 2-11 · our read held Antonin Schneeberger at 56.2%
62 points played in total.
H2H Zbynek Zientek 13–21 Antonin Schneeberger Zbynek Zientek has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:2156.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Schneeberger
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-21 in 34
Schneeberger
Correct
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zientek 1295 vs Schneeberger 1299
Schneeberger
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zientek 40% vs Schneeberger 60%
Schneeberger
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zientek 40% vs Schneeberger 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zientek +1 · Schneeberger +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Schneeberger) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZientek 2.10 / Schneeberger 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Schneeberger)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242862
Zientek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 85 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back32% 30 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back20% 10 of 50
Schneeberger1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 65 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZientek4wins
AwaySchneeberger6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchneeberger leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZientek66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchneeberger100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zientek6Schneeberger4n = 10Zientek took 6 of 10
S2Zientek5Schneeberger5n = 10split evenly
S3Zientek1Schneeberger9n = 10Schneeberger took 9 of 10
S4Zientek5Schneeberger3n = 8Zientek took 5 of 8
S5Zientek2Schneeberger2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZientekSchneebergerZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.5−2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZientekSchneebergerBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 418 vs 131 / 29048.3%45.2%202 / 418 vs 131 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchneebergerZientek 2.10/Schneeberger 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Schneeberger · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schneeberger won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek4111851162A. Schneeberger46811115113
WSep 19 · 21:15Z. Zientek4211119113A. Schneeberger36881191
LSep 19 · 20:30Z. Zientek33911941A. Schneeberger4111811113
LSep 16 · 13:30Z. Zientek44711101152A. Schneeberger51118129113
WSep 16 · 10:30Z. Zientek46117512113A. Schneeberger43311111082
LAug 13 · 06:00Z. Zientek281152101A. Schneeberger4171111123
LAug 5 · 10:00Z. Zientek196670A. Schneeberger331111113
WAug 1 · 21:09Z. Zientek331111113A. Schneeberger113080
WAug 1 · 20:00Z. Zientek47115911113A. Schneeberger4181111742
LJul 20 · 10:00Z. Zientek31611771A. Schneeberger4211911113
Z. Zientek10
WOct 5 · 11:00M. Levicky2.25112891Z. Zientek1.57111011113WOct 3 · 20:59M. Levicky2.20119761Z. Zientek1.6141111113LOct 3 · 20:00Z. Zientek1.53111411362M. Levicky2.38816611113LOct 3 · 19:30D. Kolek1.731111113Z. Zientek2.007980LOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek2.0011851162A. Schneeberger1.73811115113WOct 2 · 09:30D. Mikula1.539311111Z. Zientek2.3811118133LOct 2 · 08:30D. Mikula1.53116114113Z. Zientek2.3871191172WOct 2 · 07:30Z. Zientek2.501111113P. Varecha1.509990LOct 2 · 06:30M. Kolek1.83913711113Z. Zientek1.83111111982LSep 29 · 08:59Z. Zientek2.2071181192D. Mikula1.61117118113
A. Schneeberger10
LOct 5 · 11:30A. Schneeberger3.00116121152J. Stach1.36711149113WOct 3 · 21:29D. Kolek1.83118917102A. Schneeberger1.838111115123LOct 3 · 20:30A. Schneeberger1.6196111262D. Kolek2.201111510113WOct 3 · 19:00A. Schneeberger1.501111113M. Levicky2.507870WOct 3 · 18:00Z. Zientek2.0011851162A. Schneeberger1.73811115113LOct 3 · 09:00M. Kolek1.36114311113A. Schneeberger3.0051111682LOct 3 · 08:30A. Virag1.3612211113A. Schneeberger3.001011781LOct 3 · 07:30A. Schneeberger2.63911111152R. Kvasnicka1.44111398113LOct 3 · 06:30M. Kolek1.801111113A. Schneeberger1.914950WSep 27 · 09:01A. Schneeberger1.531111133J. Svec2.3887110
Upcoming Matches
Z. Zientek
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A. Schneeberger
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