TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Malecha vs Igor Szymanski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Maciej Malecha
Home
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311115117119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:23 and never touched: 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeMaciej Malecha to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
311115117119––
H2H Maciej Malecha 1–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2363.5%Our read69.0%to break even at 1.45
short by 5.5pp69.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.45 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Malecha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Malecha 1355 vs Szymanski 1183
Malecha
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malecha 40% vs Szymanski 20%
Malecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malecha 60% vs Szymanski 40%
Malecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malecha +1 · Szymanski -4
Szymanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Malecha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalecha 1.45 / Szymanski 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Malecha)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13242349
Malecha1.45
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Szymanski2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 92 of 434
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMalecha1wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
Malecha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalechaSzymanskiM − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.032.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalechaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 121 vs 116 / 48250.4%24.1%61 / 121 vs 116 / 482Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.933.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MalechaMalecha 1.45/Szymanski 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Malecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Malecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 07:30M. Malecha3631111113I. Szymanski32115791
M. Malecha10
LOct 4 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak1.321113133M. Malecha3.10911110WOct 4 · 06:20M. Malecha2.35111188113S. Szostok1.5077111172LJun 7 · 17:05M. Malecha3.257270W. Wojtaszczyk1.281111113LJun 7 · 15:30M. Malecha1.604870J. Jesiek2.161111113LJun 7 · 14:20M. Malecha3.007870O. Jadach1.321111113WJun 7 · 12:45M. Malecha1.7012914113K. Juszczyk2.0410111261WJun 7 · 11:30M. Malecha1.5251111143K. Jablonski2.301168121WJun 7 · 10:20K. Juszczyk2.291192101M. Malecha1.5351111123WJun 7 · 09:30J. Jesiek1.7581151172M. Malecha1.92114114113LJun 7 · 08:45M. Malecha2.36713491W. Wojtaszczyk1.53111111113
I. Szymanski10
LOct 4 · 05:55L. Oracz1.331111133I. Szymanski2.9585110LSep 30 · 13:55K. Adamus1.131111113I. Szymanski5.505390LSep 30 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33591111123I. Szymanski3.25111139102LSep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.507740O. Jadach1.171111113WSep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.0011117113P. Brozek1.11581151WSep 30 · 09:50K. Kowalski3.007450I. Szymanski1.361111113WSep 30 · 08:35I. Szymanski4.5011115143O. Jadach1.179611121LSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113WSep 30 · 05:40I. Szymanski1.3611811113K. Kowalski3.00611481LSep 30 · 04:10I. Szymanski6.001051141K. Adamus1.1112119113
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