TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Maruszak vs Michal Skorski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
151351191114121210
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched: 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timePiotr Maruszak to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
151351191114121210
H2H Piotr Maruszak 2–0 Michal Skorski Michal Skorski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:1758.4%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75
clears by 1.3pp57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Maruszak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Maruszak 1331 vs Skorski 1281
Maruszak
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maruszak 60% vs Skorski 40%
Maruszak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maruszak 50% vs Skorski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maruszak -1 · Skorski -3
Skorski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Maruszak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaruszak 1.75 / Skorski 1.95
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Maruszak)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13238547
Maruszak1.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As favourite60% won 31 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it76% 25 of 33
Skorski1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 85 of 207
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMaruszak2wins
AwaySkorski0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMaruszak leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMaruszakSkorskiM − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.532.0+7.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaruszakSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 495 vs 724 / 150147.5%48.2%235 / 495 vs 724 / 1501Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MaruszakMaruszak 1.75/Skorski 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Maruszak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maruszak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 18 · 22:15P. Maruszak331111113M. Skorski237790
WDec 5 · 16:00P. Maruszak46129113113M. Skorski41101151142
P. Maruszak10
WOct 3 · 14:35K. Makowski3.00751191P. Maruszak1.3211117113LOct 3 · 12:10M. Sinicki1.67111185123P. Maruszak2.09561111102WOct 3 · 10:55M. Lukaszewski2.259870P. Maruszak1.551111113WOct 3 · 09:20T. Piotrowski1.731191111102P. Maruszak2.00911813123WOct 3 · 07:40D. Wrobel2.350P. Maruszak1.503LOct 3 · 06:50T. Piotrowski2.0561111113P. Maruszak1.68119581WOct 3 · 06:00P. Maruszak1.6011117113M. Sinicki2.20681181LOct 3 · 04:25P. Maruszak1.85741171A. Myszewski1.8511113113WOct 3 · 03:40K. Makowski1.81117101172P. Maruszak1.90811128113LSep 20 · 13:50P. Maruszak1.959630M. Zagajewski1.741111113
M. Skorski10
WOct 3 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.051451151M. Skorski1.7016119113LOct 3 · 11:20T. Piotrowski1.621111123M. Skorski2.1541100LOct 3 · 10:30M. Sinicki1.801111118113M. Skorski1.9113671192LOct 3 · 09:00K. Makowski1.9591111113M. Skorski1.70119971WSep 30 · 00:10M. Skorski1.761112113J. Pruszkowski1.9691050WSep 29 · 23:20M. Skorski1.65111112113J. Rolak2.05691471LSep 29 · 21:55M. Skorski2.00115591B. Mrugala1.7081111113WSep 29 · 21:30M. Skorski1.70121178113K. Klocek2.00106111142LSep 29 · 20:30M. Skorski1.851168101J. Rolak1.8591111123LSep 29 · 18:55M. Skorski2.306780D. Szlubowski1.521111113
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