TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Hetnar vs Jerzy Pelka 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118611119113––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
118611119113––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 23–14 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pelka beat Hetnar 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.66 / Pelka 2.10
TT Elite Series · #13233990
Hetnar1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 277 of 407
Up 2–0, closes it98% 152 of 155
Up 1–0, closes it85% 221 of 260
Pelka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar5wins
AwayPelka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar50%3 of 6
AwayPelka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Pelka4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar3Pelka7n = 10Pelka took 7 of 10
S3Hetnar5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S4Hetnar5Pelka2n = 7Hetnar took 5 of 7
S5Hetnar1Pelka2n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarPelkaH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.936.7+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime719 / 1166 vs 446 / 93861.7%47.6%719 / 1166 vs 446 / 938Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.66/Pelka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 10:40K. Hetnar35119961J. Pelka4071111113
WSep 18 · 10:10K. Hetnar52813119113J. Pelka47111181162
WSep 16 · 11:55K. Hetnar361114113J. Pelka2451270
LSep 16 · 05:55K. Hetnar184680J. Pelka331111113
LSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar249780J. Pelka331111113
WSep 10 · 06:20K. Hetnar3961111113J. Pelka31117761
LMay 27 · 13:30K. Hetnar46116111172J. Pelka51711139113
WMay 27 · 07:30K. Hetnar4311912113J. Pelka314111061
WMay 21 · 15:55K. Hetnar43111011113J. Pelka32312981
LMay 21 · 09:55K. Hetnar4311861172J. Pelka45611116113
K. Hetnar10
WOct 2 · 15:05P. Wiciok—71161182K. Hetnar—116119113LOct 2 · 14:20L. Bernacki1.8361311113K. Hetnar1.891111881WOct 2 · 13:30K. Hetnar1.221111113P. Slosarczyk3.708360WOct 2 · 12:20K. Hetnar1.7891111113G. Wichowski1.93119681LOct 2 · 10:40K. Hetnar1.84119961J. Pelka1.8871111113LOct 2 · 09:05P. Wiciok—41514133K. Hetnar—111312111LOct 2 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.8311125113K. Hetnar1.876101161WOct 2 · 07:30K. Hetnar1.251111113P. Slosarczyk3.605410LOct 2 · 06:20K. Hetnar1.59158561L. Bernacki2.24131111113LSep 29 · 08:45M. Sikon2.551111113K. Hetnar1.459790
J. Pelka10
WOct 2 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk2.451187131J. Pelka1.4581111153LOct 2 · 13:55P. Wiciok1.9781613113J. Pelka1.7511141161LOct 2 · 13:10G. Wichowski2.0881111113J. Pelka1.68113571WOct 2 · 11:30L. Bernacki2.3581191172J. Pelka1.50118117113WOct 2 · 10:40K. Hetnar1.84119961J. Pelka1.8871111113WOct 2 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk2.3511970J. Pelka1.501311113WOct 2 · 07:55P. Wiciok—871191J. Pelka—11119113WOct 2 · 07:10L. Bernacki2.10118751J. Pelka1.6681111113LOct 2 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.4711128113J. Pelka2.508101191LSep 22 · 16:20J. Pelka2.908121191K. Slawinski1.3511147113
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