TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Wichowski vs Krzysztof Hetnar 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210511116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1161210511116––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 10–11 Krzysztof Hetnar Grzegorz Wichowski has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:1954.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.83
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.83 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1476 vs Hetnar 1424
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 80% vs Hetnar 40%
Wichowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 80% vs Hetnar 60%
Wichowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +3 · Hetnar +1
Wichowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Wichowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.83 / Hetnar 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wichowski)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13231958
Wichowski1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 237 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it97% 114 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it82% 174 of 212
Hetnar1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 34 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski4wins
AwayHetnar6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayHetnar100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski6Hetnar4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S2Wichowski4Hetnar6n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S3Wichowski6Hetnar4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S4Wichowski5Hetnar4n = 9Wichowski took 5 of 9
S5Wichowski0Hetnar3n = 3Hetnar took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiHetnarW − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.639.5−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 929 vs 717 / 116561%61.6%567 / 929 vs 717 / 1165Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.83/Hetnar 1.87
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 14:20G. Wichowski47121410113K. Hetnar4310121291
LAug 14 · 08:10G. Wichowski3911741162K. Hetnar48611119113
LJul 6 · 13:10G. Wichowski30811651K. Hetnar4211911113
WJul 6 · 05:30G. Wichowski3711411113K. Hetnar31711671
WJun 12 · 13:10G. Wichowski3911511123K. Hetnar389118101
LJun 12 · 05:30G. Wichowski4481111682K. Hetnar50119811113
LMar 13 · 16:30G. Wichowski49514111182K. Hetnar50111675113
LMar 13 · 10:30G. Wichowski28116291K. Hetnar3411111113
LFeb 6 · 08:30G. Wichowski30781141K. Hetnar4011117113
WJan 30 · 17:20G. Wichowski331111113K. Hetnar199640
G. Wichowski10
LOct 2 · 09:30G. Wichowski2.03121110101L. Bernacki1.7114612123WOct 2 · 06:45G. Wichowski—1112113P. Wiciok—91050WOct 2 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.4711128113J. Pelka2.508101191WSep 28 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.451111113Y. Fomin2.504620LSep 28 · 15:05G. Wichowski2.0512111061R. Niemiec1.6914612113WSep 28 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.351171011113W. Tobiasz2.9791112582WSep 28 · 12:45O. Jadach1.855760G. Wichowski1.851111113WSep 28 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.703111116113P. Slosarczyk2.0411761882WSep 28 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.7861111113O. Jadach1.93115841WSep 28 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.6011711113R. Niemiec2.15511591
K. Hetnar10
LOct 2 · 09:05P. Wiciok—41514133K. Hetnar—111312111WOct 2 · 07:30K. Hetnar1.251111113P. Slosarczyk3.605410LOct 2 · 06:20K. Hetnar1.59158561L. Bernacki2.24131111113LSep 29 · 08:45M. Sikon2.551111113K. Hetnar1.459790WSep 29 · 07:35K. Hetnar1.121111113J. Kaczmarek5.369260LSep 29 · 06:25M. Lebek1.95114118123K. Hetnar1.75411611102WSep 29 · 05:10W. Urban2.05118981K. Hetnar1.6571111113WSep 29 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz3.109440K. Hetnar1.321111113WSep 28 · 07:45P. Przewlocki2.501377101K. Hetnar1.50111111123WSep 28 · 06:55I. Szymanski4.5011711212K. Hetnar1.17611711113
Upcoming Matches
G. Wichowski
Nothing scheduled
K. Hetnar
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.