TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Frantisek Krcil vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513115113––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:29 and never touched: 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Krcil to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
1513115113––––
H2H Frantisek Krcil 1–1 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2956.0%Our read61.7%to break even at 1.62
short by 5.7pp61.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.62 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Krcil
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1378 vs Lukaszewski 1298
Krcil
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 40% vs Lukaszewski 20%
Krcil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Lukaszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil +1 · Lukaszewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Krcil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (20%) is below what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.62 / Lukaszewski 2.17
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krcil)-5.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13231391
Krcil1.62
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite44% won 10 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Lukaszewski2.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As underdog41% won 258 of 625
Down 0–1, comes back14% 46 of 333
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrcil1wins
AwayLukaszewski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrcilLukaszewskiK − LBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match35.538.5−3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 413 vs 894 / 196344.6%45.5%184 / 413 vs 894 / 1963Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KrcilKrcil 1.62/Lukaszewski 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Krcil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 24 · 03:50F. Krcil2441280M. Lukaszewski361114113
WSep 21 · 07:20F. Krcil47611118113M. Lukaszewski4111951152
F. Krcil10
WOct 2 · 03:50K. Kufel—1112961F. Krcil—91411113LSep 29 · 14:40M. Kolek1.291311113F. Krcil3.3211760LSep 29 · 13:30F. Krcil1.70791191M. Minda2.0011117113LSep 29 · 12:15D. Solilo1.601141111113F. Krcil2.1581181392WSep 29 · 11:00J. Krawczyk1.851112610112F. Krcil1.856101112133LSep 29 · 09:25A. Sobel1.37121111113F. Krcil2.75144521WSep 29 · 07:40M. Kukawka1.59912781F. Krcil2.22111011113LSep 29 · 06:55A. Sobel2.0371111113F. Krcil1.71117871LSep 29 · 06:05F. Krcil1.4581111922B. Czerwinski2.59118411113WSep 29 · 04:30F. Krcil1.7111714113B. Warpas2.003111231
M. Lukaszewski10
WOct 2 · 03:00B. Warpas1.8049111172M. Lukaszewski1.90111175113LOct 1 · 07:40B. Warpas1.9111118113M. Lukaszewski1.78671181LOct 1 · 07:00M. Minda1.3711611123M. Lukaszewski2.707119101LOct 1 · 06:20M. Lukaszewski2.851110651R. Stapor1.3531211113LOct 1 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski1.85109110K. Sulkowski1.801211133LOct 1 · 03:50M. Kukawka1.273M. Lukaszewski3.350LSep 30 · 07:40B. Warpas1.8011124113M. Lukaszewski1.807101171WSep 30 · 06:55M. Zwolinski1.95116591M. Lukaszewski1.7591111113WSep 30 · 06:05M. Lukaszewski3.601171411113M. Kukawka1.2561116772WSep 30 · 04:30M. Lukaszewski2.10111178113K. Sulkowski1.6568111172
Upcoming Matches
F. Krcil
M. Lukaszewski
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