TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Andriej Fomin 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116118411611119
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:43 and never touched: 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
116118411611119
H2H Jerzy Michalik 26–32 Andriej Fomin Jerzy Michalik has won 26 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.78 (52%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
26-32 in 58
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 6 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1371 vs Fomin 1456
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 20% vs Fomin 40%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Fomin 70%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -3 · Fomin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.94 / Fomin 1.78
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fomin)+4.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13219799
Michalik1.94
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back17% 34 of 195
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 117
Fomin1.78
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 291 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it98% 159 of 163
Up 1–0, closes it90% 222 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik2wins
AwayFomin8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik16.7%1 of 6
AwayFomin75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Fomin4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik6Fomin4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S3Michalik3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Michalik0Fomin8n = 8Fomin took 8 of 8
S5Michalik2Fomin5n = 7Fomin took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikFominM − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.849.5−4.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikFominBasisWin rate · lifetime561 / 1189 vs 559 / 95547.2%58.5%561 / 1189 vs 559 / 955Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FominMichalik 1.94/Fomin 1.78
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 23:20J. Michalik491111101342A. Fomin56991215113
LSep 24 · 17:20J. Michalik51141188102A. Fomin511251111123
WAug 31 · 08:30J. Michalik47121166123A. Fomin511091111102
WAug 28 · 00:45J. Michalik569141111113A. Fomin51111281372
LAug 7 · 04:40J. Michalik4013115111A. Fomin4715811133
LAug 6 · 22:40J. Michalik49156121062A. Fomin5713111012113
LAug 3 · 22:25J. Michalik47111011962A. Fomin51812911113
LJul 22 · 23:45J. Michalik3598180A. Fomin421111203
LJul 22 · 15:50J. Michalik4714118772A. Fomin541291111113
LJul 16 · 02:35J. Michalik27101070A. Fomin351212113
J. Michalik10
LSep 29 · 23:30J. Michalik1.80914991J. Skorupa1.85111211113LSep 29 · 02:45J. Michalik1.7461311292A. Staniczek1.991111311113LSep 29 · 01:10J. Michalik2.15511591A. Kubiak1.6011911113WSep 29 · 00:00J. Michalik1.361111133M. Machelski2.9075110LSep 28 · 22:25J. Michalik2.0571090J. Cyndera1.681112113WSep 28 · 21:10J. Michalik3.501116193J. Zelezik1.27914170WSep 27 · 01:45J. Slawomir1.8381111652J. Michalik1.83114811113LSep 27 · 01:00K. Kwiatkowski1.671113113J. Michalik2.1051190WSep 27 · 00:10J. Michalik1.501111133K. Malcher2.5088110WSep 26 · 22:35J. Michalik1.5011711113A. Szurgot2.50611981
A. Fomin10
LSep 29 · 23:55A. Fomin1.717111271G. Mucha2.00111310113LSep 29 · 22:20A. Fomin1.4638100P. Gesiarz2.551111123LSep 29 · 21:05A. Fomin1.6012980K. Kwiatkowski2.101411113WSep 29 · 19:55A. Fomin1.3611129133J. Skorupa2.9031011111WSep 29 · 18:45M. Brunner2.80144110A. Fomin1.351611133WSep 29 · 17:55A. Fomin1.701111610113G. Mucha2.0086111272WSep 28 · 08:45T. Kordaszewski5.407470A. Fomin1.101111113WSep 28 · 07:35A. Fomin1.521111113M. Wolny2.305450WSep 28 · 06:25M. Machelski2.809101151A. Fomin1.3711129113WSep 28 · 05:10W. Stechly6.1810119161A. Fomin1.0912511183
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