TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Jacek Zelezik 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11916141917––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:07 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
11916141917––––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 4–18 Jacek Zelezik Jerzy Michalik has won 4 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Zelezik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-18 in 22
Zelezik
Wrong
gap of 14 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1402 vs Zelezik 1527
Zelezik
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 80% vs Zelezik 100%
Zelezik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 80% vs Zelezik 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +1 · Zelezik +8
Zelezik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Zelezik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 3.50 / Zelezik 1.27
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Zelezik)-8.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13205508
Michalik3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 116 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back18% 34 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 116
Zelezik1.27
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 189 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 143 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik3wins
AwayZelezik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik33.3%2 of 6
AwayZelezik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik6Zelezik4n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Michalik3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S3Michalik4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Michalik1Zelezik7n = 8Zelezik took 7 of 8
S5Michalik2Zelezik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikZelezikM − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.743.2−6.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime560 / 1184 vs 402 / 73447.3%54.8%560 / 1184 vs 402 / 734Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikMichalik 3.50/Zelezik 1.27
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.1%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik49611126143J. Zelezik491151011122
WSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik4611911153J. Zelezik409117131
LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik4611712972J. Zelezik485111011113
LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik441778121J. Zelezik51151111143
LAug 26 · 00:45J. Michalik3211122432J. Zelezik485101111113
LAug 4 · 02:00J. Michalik36117991J. Zelezik4181111113
LJul 31 · 02:35J. Michalik173770J. Zelezik331111113
WJul 30 · 18:10J. Michalik43114115123J. Zelezik45811511102
LJul 7 · 23:30J. Michalik158520J. Zelezik331111113
LJul 3 · 02:45J. Michalik391111981J. Zelezik4413911113
J. Michalik10
WSep 27 · 01:45J. Slawomir1.8381111652J. Michalik1.83114811113LSep 27 · 01:00K. Kwiatkowski1.671113113J. Michalik2.1051190WSep 27 · 00:10J. Michalik1.501111133K. Malcher2.5088110WSep 26 · 22:35J. Michalik1.5011711113A. Szurgot2.50611981WSep 26 · 21:45P. Gesiarz1.9110101191J. Michalik1.8012127113WSep 26 · 20:30J. Michalik1.611111133K. Malcher2.2086110WSep 26 · 18:55J. Michalik2.0013811113K. Kwiatkowski1.731111671WSep 26 · 17:45J. Michalik1.8371111113P. Gesiarz1.83115951WSep 26 · 16:15J. Michalik1.83115118113J. Slawomir1.8371161142LSep 26 · 15:00J. Michalik1.30124391A. Szurgot3.40101111113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 28 · 22:50A. Kubiak2.509410J. Zelezik1.461111113WSep 28 · 20:20P. Gesiarz2.25119111992J. Zelezik1.581311417113WSep 28 · 19:35A. Staniczek1.91111171352J. Zelezik1.80891115113WSep 28 · 17:35J. Cyndera2.3211117342J. Zelezik1.55761111113WSep 28 · 16:50D. Maszczynski5.75981191J. Zelezik1.1211114113WSep 28 · 15:10A. Kubiak2.261111381J. Zelezik1.5771311113WSep 24 · 04:40M. Karpiuk2.60913941J. Zelezik1.43111111113WSep 24 · 03:55K. Kwiatkowski2.508690J. Zelezik1.471111113WSep 24 · 01:55W. Stechly6.256780J. Zelezik1.081111113LSep 24 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.801111113J. Zelezik1.906450
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