TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Lebek vs Oskar Sokolowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121015131412––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched: 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
121015131412––––
H2H Marian Lebek 3–3 Oskar Sokolowski Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1438 vs Sokolowski 1237
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 80% vs Sokolowski 40%
Lebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 60% vs Sokolowski 20%
Lebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +2 · Sokolowski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Lebek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.35 / Sokolowski 2.90
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Lebek)+4.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13219647
Lebek1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite63% won 238 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it97% 162 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it82% 211 of 256
Sokolowski2.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 79 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back16% 26 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLebek3wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek60%3 of 5
AwaySokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek5Sokolowski1n = 6Lebek took 5 of 6
S2Lebek3Sokolowski3n = 6split evenly
S3Lebek2Sokolowski4n = 6Sokolowski took 4 of 6
S4Lebek4Sokolowski2n = 6Lebek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricLebekSokolowskiL − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.038.8+3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime854 / 1467 vs 135 / 40258.2%33.6%854 / 1467 vs 135 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.35/Sokolowski 2.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 17 · 07:35M. Lebek41116101132O. Sokolowski50711129113
WSep 17 · 01:35M. Lebek4411148113O. Sokolowski345121161
LAug 27 · 07:35M. Lebek35118881O. Sokolowski3961111113
WAug 27 · 01:35M. Lebek4011711113O. Sokolowski26911331
WJul 5 · 13:10M. Lebek44111111113O. Sokolowski36881371
LJul 5 · 05:15M. Lebek48111111962O. Sokolowski48136711113
M. Lebek10
WSep 29 · 22:00M. Lebek1.8511118113P. Kurek1.80681171WSep 29 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz4.156880M. Lebek1.181111113LSep 29 · 07:10M. Sikon2.50111411113M. Lebek1.457121381WSep 29 · 06:25M. Lebek1.95114118123K. Hetnar1.75411611102WSep 29 · 04:50M. Lebek1.27111011113J. Kaczmarek3.25612561LSep 29 · 04:00W. Urban2.60751111113M. Lebek1.4211117692WSep 25 · 08:20P. Polok1.757890M. Lebek1.901111113WSep 25 · 07:35J. Nowak3.455340M. Lebek1.251111113LSep 25 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.4081111113M. Lebek1.50116861LSep 25 · 04:50P. Adamus1.70611811113M. Lebek1.9511311882
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 29 · 21:35M. Adamus1.6671111113O. Sokolowski2.11115741LSep 29 · 20:45P. Kurek1.3311117113O. Sokolowski3.10661191WSep 29 · 19:35O. Sokolowski1.4513111110113M. Tkocz2.5815661292LSep 29 · 18:25M. Sikon1.65117117113O. Sokolowski2.1081171182WSep 29 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.83281161O. Sokolowski1.8711115113LSep 29 · 15:35M. Adamus1.90111185113O. Sokolowski1.8099111162LSep 27 · 08:45K. Juszczyk1.6591112113O. Sokolowski2.101161081LSep 27 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.352114101P. Zemla1.2711611123LSep 27 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111113O. Sokolowski1.80118561LSep 27 · 05:10W. Pytlas1.80111210113O. Sokolowski1.857101261
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