TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Kantor vs Ivan Heuman 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181210711611311
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:13 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Heuman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 90 set 5, 3-11 · our read held Ivan Heuman at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:1354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heuman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1564 vs Heuman 1567
Heuman
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 20% vs Heuman 60%
Heuman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 30% vs Heuman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor +1 · Heuman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Heuman) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 1.833 / Heuman 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heuman)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13219258
Kantor1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Heuman1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 381 vs 217 / 44250.4%49.1%192 / 381 vs 217 / 442Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanKantor 1.83/Heuman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Heuman won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Kantor10
WSep 30 · 05:45D. Velky Jr2.1011911282L. Kantor1.67511611113LSep 28 · 16:45F. Chaloupka1.50911811113L. Kantor2.5011811472LSep 28 · 16:15J. Krupnik1.501111113L. Kantor2.508960LSep 28 · 15:15L. Kantor2.5012750B. Mrowetz1.501411113LSep 28 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.5011611113L. Kantor2.50611991LSep 25 · 17:15T. Molin1.5711129113L. Kantor2.258101181WSep 25 · 15:45L. Kantor1.7311911113V. Konvicka2.00811591LSep 25 · 14:45L. Kantor2.202790T. Molin1.611111113WSep 25 · 13:45L. Kantor1.67111112113J. Przybyla2.101381061LSep 23 · 13:13R. Solle2.63781111213L. Kantor1.44111155192
I. Heuman10
WSep 30 · 06:15I. Heuman1.83512119113T. Krenek1.83111081192LSep 29 · 09:18R. Benes1.6711611113I. Heuman2.10211891LSep 29 · 07:40J. Travnicek1.731212116113I. Heuman2.00141061182WSep 29 · 07:10D. Pawlik2.20791181I. Heuman1.6111118113WSep 29 · 06:10I. Heuman2.20115711113R. Benes1.6141111592LSep 26 · 20:45I. Heuman1.4415761192R. Solle2.631311119113LSep 26 · 19:40I. Heuman1.8311138792D. Vitasek1.837111111113WSep 26 · 18:40I. Heuman1.5011119113R. Solle2.50881181LSep 26 · 17:40I. Heuman1.6771171392K. Kleprlik2.101191111113LSep 24 · 09:15I. Heuman1.73119781J. Skvrna2.0091111113
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