TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Blazej Warpas vs Milosz Kukawka 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5115111012––––
Milosz Kukawka
Away
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:23 and never touched: 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeMilosz Kukawka to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
5115111012––––
H2H Blazej Warpas 20–26 Milosz Kukawka Blazej Warpas has won 20 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2365.2%Our read70.9%to break even at 1.41
short by 5.7pp70.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.41 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (66%)
Kukawka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-26 in 46
Kukawka
Correct
gap of 6 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warpas 1237 vs Kukawka 1522
Kukawka
Correct
both rated, 286 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warpas 0% vs Kukawka 20%
Kukawka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warpas 10% vs Kukawka 40%
Kukawka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warpas -9 · Kukawka -2
Warpas
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Kukawka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarpas 2.70 / Kukawka 1.41
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kukawka)-5.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13217116
Warpas2.70
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 88 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back13% 16 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 73
Kukawka1.41
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 240 of 368
Up 2–0, closes it98% 121 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it85% 192 of 225
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarpas4wins
AwayKukawka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKukawka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarpas66.7%4 of 6
AwayKukawka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warpas6Kukawka4n = 10Warpas took 6 of 10
S2Warpas2Kukawka8n = 10Kukawka took 8 of 10
S3Warpas6Kukawka4n = 10Warpas took 6 of 10
S4Warpas2Kukawka3n = 5Kukawka took 3 of 5
S5Warpas1Kukawka2n = 3Kukawka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarpasKukawkaW − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.8−1.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarpasKukawkaBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 822 vs 502 / 79851.6%62.9%424 / 822 vs 502 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KukawkaWarpas 2.70/Kukawka 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Kukawka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kukawka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 05:15B. Warpas49117111192M. Kukawka46131129113
LSep 28 · 07:20B. Warpas351176111M. Kukawka4381111133
LJun 28 · 09:45B. Warpas4311811672M. Kukawka46711611113
WMay 24 · 19:40B. Warpas4211911113M. Kukawka36811891
LMay 21 · 18:20B. Warpas177370M. Kukawka331111113
WMay 21 · 13:25B. Warpas331111113M. Kukawka215880
WMay 19 · 01:10B. Warpas331111113M. Kukawka166550
WMay 18 · 22:45B. Warpas45114117123M. Kukawka41211711102
LMay 15 · 17:30B. Warpas104150M. Kukawka331111113
LMay 15 · 10:55B. Warpas236980M. Kukawka331111113
B. Warpas10
WSep 30 · 05:15B. Warpas1.981111113K. Sulkowski1.756580LSep 30 · 04:10M. Zwolinski2.201111113B. Warpas1.617760LSep 29 · 08:10M. Minda1.401511109113B. Warpas2.65137121152LSep 29 · 07:20B. Czerwinski1.271111113B. Warpas3.309340LSep 29 · 05:15M. Kukawka1.45131129113B. Warpas2.50117111192LSep 29 · 04:30F. Krcil1.7111714113B. Warpas2.003111231LSep 29 · 03:00A. Sobel1.39118119113B. Warpas2.7951191152LSep 28 · 08:35J. Zochniak1.271111113B. Warpas3.308490LSep 28 · 07:20B. Warpas2.251176111M. Kukawka1.5581111133LSep 28 · 06:05A. Sobel1.29111011113B. Warpas3.40712771
M. Kukawka10
LSep 29 · 07:40M. Kukawka1.59912781F. Krcil2.22111011113LSep 29 · 06:30M. Kukawka1.7012117242M. Minda1.951071111113WSep 29 · 05:15M. Kukawka1.45131129113B. Warpas2.50117111192LSep 29 · 04:10A. Sobel1.68111110113M. Kukawka2.05441241LSep 29 · 03:25M. Kukawka—3780B. Czerwinski—1111113WSep 28 · 08:10R. Stapor2.308990M. Kukawka1.521111113WSep 28 · 07:20B. Warpas2.251176111M. Kukawka1.5581111133WSep 28 · 05:15M. Trela2.1111118862M. Kukawka1.66971111113LSep 28 · 04:30A. Sobel1.8511118113M. Kukawka1.85341111LSep 28 · 03:00J. Zochniak—61113113M. Kukawka—1191171
Upcoming Matches
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M. Kukawka
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