TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Krystian Kolodziej 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511411116711––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrystian Kolodziej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
511411116711––
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 35–28 Krystian Kolodziej Krystian Kolodziej has won 28 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Kolodziej
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
35-28 in 63
Kuzmicz
Wrong
gap of 7 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1791 vs Kolodziej 1756
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 20% vs Kolodziej 40%
Kolodziej
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 50% vs Kolodziej 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz -3 · Kolodziej +1
Kuzmicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kolodziej) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 2.10 / Kolodziej 1.65
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolodziej)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13217078
Kuzmicz2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 125 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back32% 38 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Kolodziej1.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite75% won 439 of 584
Up 2–0, closes it97% 277 of 285
Up 1–0, closes it87% 363 of 417
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayKolodziej4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz83.3%5 of 6
AwayKolodziej75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz6Kolodziej4n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmicz4Kolodziej6n = 10Kolodziej took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmicz7Kolodziej3n = 10Kuzmicz took 7 of 10
S4Kuzmicz4Kolodziej5n = 9Kolodziej took 5 of 9
S5Kuzmicz2Kolodziej1n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmiczKolodziejKuzmicz − KolodziejBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.2+1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime725 / 1260 vs 1269 / 189757.5%66.9%725 / 1260 vs 1269 / 1897Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolodziejKuzmicz 2.10/Kolodziej 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolodziej · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolodziej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 14:35J. Kuzmicz331111113K. Kolodziej247980
WSep 11 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz51111199113K. Kolodziej4697111182
LAug 26 · 18:30J. Kuzmicz399911101K. Kolodziej4011116123
LAug 18 · 16:05J. Kuzmicz39157981K. Kolodziej46131111113
WAug 17 · 19:15J. Kuzmicz4212611133K. Kolodziej3910117111
LAug 14 · 16:55J. Kuzmicz49108111192K. Kolodziej49121196113
WAug 5 · 19:40J. Kuzmicz44611115113K. Kolodziej4411781172
LJul 20 · 11:20J. Kuzmicz366111181K. Kolodziej4211713113
WJul 17 · 16:30J. Kuzmicz4211911113K. Kolodziej35811791
WJul 9 · 12:30J. Kuzmicz4111811113K. Kolodziej37911981
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 29 · 13:00J. Kuzmicz1.90117891M. Sklensky1.8091111113LSep 29 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz1.4099111172A. Spychala2.75111189113LSep 29 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz2.005970M. Miastowski1.731111113WSep 29 · 09:00J. Kuzmicz1.401111113K. Staszczyk2.756990LSep 28 · 07:40J. Kuzmicz1.301191341D. Kostal3.1091115113WSep 28 · 06:25J. Kuzmicz1.5721511113M. Sklensky2.271113871LSep 28 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz1.5169111172G. Poliniewicz2.40111195113WSep 28 · 04:00M. Rutkowski2.051011781J. Kuzmicz1.6512811113WSep 28 · 03:20J. Kuzmicz1.44121111113K. Kapik2.60148581WSep 28 · 00:10J. Kuzmicz1.30611138113M. Olbrycht3.40118111182
K. Kolodziej10
WSep 29 · 13:25K. Kolodziej1.271111113K. Staszczyk3.504960LSep 29 · 12:10M. Sklensky2.15911311113K. Kolodziej1.6211511392LSep 29 · 10:55A. Spychala1.69812161113K. Kolodziej2.061110141162WSep 29 · 09:20M. Miastowski1.75611781K. Kolodziej1.9011911113LSep 28 · 14:15K. Kolodziej1.809790K. Wloczko1.901111113LSep 28 · 12:35M. Rutkowski3.9011113113K. Kolodziej1.20781151WSep 28 · 11:45M. Sklensky3.1855141182K. Kolodziej1.311111127113WSep 28 · 10:55K. Kolodziej1.64111111113D. Kostal2.13413961WSep 28 · 09:45K. Kolodziej1.4011116113K. Kapik2.65951181LSep 27 · 13:45K. Kolodziej2.63121011342M. Jadczyk1.441012911113
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