TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Mariusz Baron 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112105111012––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
71112105111012––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 21–21 Mariusz Baron Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Vincenec beat Baron 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baron form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 2.00 / Baron 1.73
TT Elite Series · #13216332
Vincenec2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 191 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back25% 70 of 281
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 142
Baron1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 198 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it79% 93 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it66% 141 of 213
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec6wins
AwayBaron4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec75%3 of 4
AwayBaron50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec6Baron2n = 8Vincenec took 6 of 8
S5Vincenec4Baron2n = 6Vincenec took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecBaronV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.045.0−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime696 / 1523 vs 874 / 182945.7%47.8%696 / 1523 vs 874 / 1829Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BaronVincenec 2.00/Baron 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Baron won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec361411113M. Baron2912980
LSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec46131111472M. Baron51156811113
WSep 27 · 19:55O. Vincenec55691411153M. Baron561111129132
LSep 26 · 02:35O. Vincenec381091181M. Baron4212118113
LSep 25 · 16:55O. Vincenec4211741192M. Baron50811119113
WSep 23 · 15:55O. Vincenec43821111113M. Baron4511118782
WSep 23 · 09:55O. Vincenec4111116133M. Baron398911111
LSep 21 · 02:45O. Vincenec2248100M. Baron341111123
WSep 20 · 23:05O. Vincenec511011213153M. Baron551281111132
WSep 8 · 14:20O. Vincenec5611101311113M. Baron4941215992
O. Vincenec10
LSep 29 · 10:20S. Juzek1.8561111113O. Vincenec1.85116761WSep 29 · 09:30O. Jadach1.47111112862O. Vincenec2.451371011113LSep 29 · 08:45O. Vincenec2.1511101312112W. Ptak1.627121510133WSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec1.901411113M. Baron1.8012980LSep 29 · 06:20P. Polok1.4511112113O. Vincenec2.55861131LSep 28 · 04:20O. Vincenec2.1510870P. Kurek1.621211113LSep 28 · 03:05O. Vincenec2.15310100W. Urban1.631112123LSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec1.98131111472M. Baron1.73156811113LSep 28 · 00:45P. Adamus1.6511118113O. Vincenec2.05591181WSep 27 · 23:55O. Vincenec2.9011119113J. Pruszkowski1.35941171
M. Baron10
LSep 29 · 10:40P. Polok1.381171110113M. Baron2.8051191252WSep 29 · 09:55W. Ptak1.80113119132M. Baron1.90611811153WSep 29 · 07:55S. Juzek2.1071111472M. Baron1.65117611113LSep 29 · 07:10O. Vincenec1.901411113M. Baron1.8012980LSep 29 · 05:30O. Jadach1.751151111113M. Baron1.9513119782LSep 28 · 04:40W. Urban1.93101311123M. Baron1.7712116101LSep 28 · 03:55J. Pruszkowski1.3411119113M. Baron3.10791171WSep 28 · 01:55O. Vincenec1.98131111472M. Baron1.73156811113LSep 28 · 01:10P. Kurek1.551211113M. Baron2.3010380WSep 27 · 23:30P. Adamus1.9061151152M. Baron1.75119119113
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