TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marcel Pikous vs Jiri Zuzanek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513611115114––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:21 and never touched: 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeMarcel Pikous to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Pikous above · Jiri Zuzanek below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 76 set 4, 11-4 · our read held Marcel Pikous at 69.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Pikous 14–8 Jiri Zuzanek Jiri Zuzanek has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:21What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pikous
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-8 in 22
Pikous
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pikous 1596 vs Zuzanek 1594
Pikous
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pikous 40% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pikous 40% vs Zuzanek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pikous -2 · Zuzanek -3
Zuzanek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Pikous) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pikous form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPikous 1.36 / Zuzanek 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Pikous)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13216289
Pikous1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it90% 55 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 97
Zuzanek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 115 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back30% 35 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePikous7wins
AwayZuzanek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePikous100%6 of 6
AwayZuzanek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pikous6Zuzanek4n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S2Pikous6Zuzanek4n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S3Pikous8Zuzanek2n = 10Pikous took 8 of 10
S4Pikous4Zuzanek2n = 6Pikous took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPikousZuzanekP − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.230.9+7.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPikousZuzanekBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 696 vs 544 / 108852.6%50%366 / 696 vs 544 / 1088Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PikousPikous 1.36/Zuzanek 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Pikous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pikous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 16 · 17:00M. Pikous43561111102J. Zuzanek46111166123
WJul 16 · 14:30M. Pikous351113113J. Zuzanek2141160
WMar 14 · 12:30M. Pikous361311123J. Zuzanek28117100
WMar 13 · 16:00M. Pikous4181111113J. Zuzanek22114341
WJan 24 · 12:30M. Pikous3914113113J. Zuzanek321261131
LDec 7 · 21:30M. Pikous357101171J. Zuzanek4311129113
WSep 22 · 16:00M. Pikous331111113J. Zuzanek164750
WSep 14 · 14:00M. Pikous471141011113J. Zuzanek3781112422
WSep 10 · 21:30M. Pikous331111113J. Zuzanek175390
LSep 10 · 19:30M. Pikous4011611121J. Zuzanek4713119143
M. Pikous10
WSep 29 · 16:00M. Pikous1.676121111113M. Wagner2.1011147692LSep 29 · 15:30P. Saleny1.5311118113M. Pikous2.38771161LSep 28 · 16:58J. Tazler1.6713117113M. Pikous2.101161121LSep 28 · 16:00M. Pikous1.8314760J. Tazler1.831611113WSep 28 · 15:30M. Regner2.207570M. Pikous1.611111113LSep 28 · 14:00M. Pikous1.916390J. Louda1.801111113WSep 28 · 02:58M. Pikous2.001111123J. Louda1.7375100WSep 28 · 02:30M. Pikous2.0011711113J. Louda1.73411591LSep 28 · 01:30P. Pycha2.10111168113M. Pikous1.6776111172WSep 28 · 00:00M. Pikous1.2511137113S. Kadavy3.756111141
J. Zuzanek10
LSep 29 · 17:00M. Wagner1.24111211113J. Zuzanek3.75614941WSep 29 · 16:30J. Zuzanek2.3811911113P. Saleny1.53911691LSep 29 · 15:00J. Zuzanek2.38511131192M. Wagner1.53115159113LSep 27 · 17:00J. Zuzanek1.83311941K. Schopf1.8311711113LSep 27 · 16:00J. Zuzanek1.831111116112M. Sychra1.83613411133LSep 27 · 15:30M. Nohejl2.381111123J. Zuzanek1.5387100WSep 27 · 14:00J. Zuzanek1.9111118113K. Schopf1.80481181WSep 26 · 13:08J. Tazler3.2561050J. Zuzanek1.331112113LSep 26 · 12:00J. Tazler1.801112113J. Zuzanek1.9151060WSep 26 · 11:00M. Regner1.8386141172J. Zuzanek1.831111129113
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