TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Frantisek Krcil 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117118117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:54 and never touched: 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeArtur Sobel to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
711117118117––
H2H Artur Sobel 7–8 Frantisek Krcil Artur Sobel has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Krcil
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1613 vs Krcil 1358
Sobel
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 60% vs Krcil 40%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 60% vs Krcil 40%
Sobel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Krcil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Sobel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krcil form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 2.03 / Krcil 1.71
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sobel)+18.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13215264
Sobel2.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Krcil1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel6wins
AwayKrcil4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSobel leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel71.4%5 of 7
AwayKrcil66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel7Krcil3n = 10Sobel took 7 of 10
S2Sobel6Krcil4n = 10Sobel took 6 of 10
S3Sobel8Krcil2n = 10Sobel took 8 of 10
S4Sobel2Krcil4n = 6Krcil took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelKrcilS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.130.2+4.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelKrcilBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1192 vs 186 / 41654.5%44.7%650 / 1192 vs 186 / 416Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SobelSobel 2.03/Krcil 1.71
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.3%
Sobel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 06:55A. Sobel4071111113F. Krcil33117871
WSep 21 · 13:05A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil163670
WSep 21 · 06:05A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil145360
WSep 14 · 09:00A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil205960
WSep 23 · 14:40A. Sobel4111811113F. Krcil27711631
LSep 23 · 06:30A. Sobel26281151F. Krcil3811115113
LJul 1 · 04:10A. Sobel30116581F. Krcil4291111113
WMay 20 · 11:00A. Sobel331111113F. Krcil217680
LApr 29 · 09:25A. Sobel5091311982F. Krcil501111611113
LApr 29 · 06:55A. Sobel32117951F. Krcil4181111113
A. Sobel10
LSep 29 · 05:40A. Sobel1.576770M. Minda2.201111113WSep 29 · 04:10A. Sobel1.68111110113M. Kukawka2.05441241WSep 29 · 03:00A. Sobel1.39118119113B. Warpas2.7951191152LSep 28 · 14:40A. Sobel1.80119981D. Solilo1.9081111113WSep 28 · 13:05A. Sobel2.25111177113M. Kolek1.5776111152LSep 28 · 11:50A. Sobel1.8045100B. Czerwinski1.851111123LSep 28 · 10:10A. Sobel1.901111118102J. Zochniak1.80137911123WSep 28 · 09:00A. Sobel1.58111198113M. Minda2.2578111182WSep 28 · 07:40M. Trela2.85811991A. Sobel1.3511811113WSep 28 · 06:55J. Zochniak1.859111191A. Sobel1.8011613113
F. Krcil10
LSep 29 · 06:05F. Krcil1.4581111922B. Czerwinski2.59118411113WSep 29 · 04:30F. Krcil1.7111714113B. Warpas2.003111231LSep 29 · 03:50M. Minda2.10111111113F. Krcil1.65513971WSep 24 · 14:40B. Czerwinski1.5076111182F. Krcil2.40111178113LSep 24 · 13:30F. Krcil1.756990K. Wisniewski1.901111113WSep 24 · 12:15A. Mugowski2.1581181162F. Krcil1.60119116113LSep 24 · 11:00R. Stapor1.60111197113F. Krcil2.2155111162LSep 24 · 09:25W. Iwasyszyn2.151211113F. Krcil1.6010760LSep 24 · 07:40B. Wisniewski2.351111113F. Krcil1.507760WSep 24 · 06:55W. Iwasyszyn2.341181291F. Krcil1.5461114113
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