TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Oracz vs Jakub Pruszkowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118711311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
911118711311––
H2H Lukasz Oracz 21–25 Jakub Pruszkowski Lukasz Oracz has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Pruszkowski beat Oracz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-25 in 46
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1338 vs Pruszkowski 1473
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 60% vs Pruszkowski 40%
Oracz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 50% vs Pruszkowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz -2 · Pruszkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Oracz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 2.30 / Pruszkowski 1.55
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oracz)+13.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13214872
Oracz2.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 123 of 289
Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 89
Pruszkowski1.55
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 448 of 688
Up 2–0, closes it95% 227 of 238
Up 1–0, closes it83% 345 of 417
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOracz5wins
AwayPruszkowski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz62.5%5 of 8
AwayPruszkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz8Pruszkowski2n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Oracz6Pruszkowski4n = 10Oracz took 6 of 10
S3Oracz3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S4Oracz3Pruszkowski4n = 7Pruszkowski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricOraczPruszkowskiO − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.836.9−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime845 / 1538 vs 1151 / 181454.9%63.5%845 / 1538 vs 1151 / 1814Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 2.30/Pruszkowski 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 14:40L. Oracz341011581J. Pruszkowski4212811113
WAug 20 · 06:05L. Oracz4211137113J. Pruszkowski336111151
WAug 13 · 15:05L. Oracz4111118113J. Pruszkowski37891191
LAug 13 · 07:30L. Oracz31116861J. Pruszkowski4291111113
WAug 12 · 01:25L. Oracz4111118113J. Pruszkowski34781181
LAug 11 · 19:20L. Oracz49136111092J. Pruszkowski521111712113
WAug 2 · 23:30L. Oracz381111163J. Pruszkowski3088140
LAug 2 · 19:10L. Oracz371151291J. Pruszkowski4371114113
LJul 26 · 21:35L. Oracz227870J. Pruszkowski331111113
WJul 24 · 04:50L. Oracz331111113J. Pruszkowski235990
L. Oracz10
LSep 29 · 03:05L. Oracz1.758760D. Dytko1.901111113LSep 29 · 01:30L. Oracz1.7012560O. Sokolowski2.001411113WSep 29 · 00:30M. Adamus2.109970L. Oracz1.651111113WSep 28 · 23:50L. Oracz1.95815611113K. Adamus1.75111311672WSep 28 · 22:20L. Oracz1.8511118113M. Adamus1.80691161WSep 28 · 21:05L. Oracz1.711111113D. Dytko2.004780LSep 28 · 19:55L. Oracz1.651110120O. Sokolowski2.101312143LSep 28 · 18:45J. Pruszkowski1.491411113L. Oracz2.4512960WSep 28 · 17:55L. Oracz1.901311113K. Adamus1.7511990LSep 26 · 02:10R. Szymik1.831111113L. Oracz1.837720
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 29 · 03:30M. Adamus2.6510780J. Pruszkowski1.401211113LSep 29 · 02:10J. Pruszkowski1.526750K. Adamus2.301111113WSep 29 · 00:50J. Pruszkowski1.4111117113O. Sokolowski2.70391161LSep 29 · 00:10D. Dytko2.651111113J. Pruszkowski1.424570LSep 28 · 23:05J. Pruszkowski1.7215101211122K. Adamus2.021312149143WSep 28 · 21:30J. Pruszkowski1.29119158113M. Adamus3.30911131172WSep 28 · 20:20J. Pruszkowski1.68811811113D. Dytko2.0811611592WSep 28 · 18:45J. Pruszkowski1.491411113L. Oracz2.4512960WSep 28 · 17:30J. Pruszkowski1.8571113113O. Sokolowski1.861181181LSep 28 · 05:05P. Adamus2.051111123J. Pruszkowski1.6568100
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