TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Sobel vs Bartosz Czerwinski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4115111012––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Czerwinski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
4115111012––––
H2H Artur Sobel 4–8 Bartosz Czerwinski Artur Sobel has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:49What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sobel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Czerwinski
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sobel 1641 vs Czerwinski 1512
Sobel
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobel 80% vs Czerwinski 40%
Sobel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobel 80% vs Czerwinski 50%
Sobel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobel -1 · Czerwinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Czerwinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Czerwinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobel 1.80 / Czerwinski 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Czerwinski)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13210785
Sobel1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 170 of 275
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 118 of 151
Czerwinski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSobel4wins
AwayCzerwinski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderCzerwinski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSobel60%3 of 5
AwayCzerwinski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sobel5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S2Sobel5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Sobel5Czerwinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Sobel4Czerwinski4n = 8split evenly
S5Sobel1Czerwinski3n = 4Czerwinski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSobelCzerwinskiS − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.1+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobelCzerwinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime648 / 1189 vs 495 / 103454.5%47.9%648 / 1189 vs 495 / 1034Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CzerwinskiSobel 1.80/Czerwinski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Czerwinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Czerwinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel48911512113B. Czerwinski47119111062
WSep 21 · 09:00A. Sobel331111113B. Czerwinski189720
LSep 15 · 11:50A. Sobel2999110B. Czerwinski351111133
LSep 8 · 04:00A. Sobel27114751B. Czerwinski4071111113
LSep 1 · 11:00A. Sobel377811111B. Czerwinski4311118133
WAug 25 · 12:15A. Sobel45111112113B. Czerwinski37781481
LAug 24 · 04:30A. Sobel48711811112B. Czerwinski52118119133
LJun 29 · 11:50A. Sobel5281214992B. Czerwinski5511101211113
WJun 9 · 03:50A. Sobel4711916113B. Czerwinski396111481
LJun 8 · 07:45A. Sobel46111011682B. Czerwinski45912211113
A. Sobel10
LSep 28 · 10:10A. Sobel1.901111118102J. Zochniak1.80137911123WSep 28 · 09:00A. Sobel1.58111198113M. Minda2.2578111182WSep 28 · 07:40M. Trela2.85811991A. Sobel1.3511811113WSep 28 · 06:55J. Zochniak1.859111191A. Sobel1.8011613113WSep 28 · 06:05A. Sobel1.29111011113B. Warpas3.40712771WSep 28 · 04:30A. Sobel1.8511118113M. Kukawka1.85341111WSep 28 · 03:50R. Stapor2.20121111442A. Sobel1.601061311113LSep 22 · 13:55B. Sulkowski1.98128511113A. Sobel1.75101111582WSep 22 · 13:05P. Blocho2.0551050A. Sobel1.661112113WSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel1.76911512113B. Czerwinski1.90119111062
B. Czerwinski10
LSep 28 · 11:00B. Czerwinski2.00111155132D. Solilo1.73381111153LSep 28 · 09:50B. Czerwinski2.0812511992M. Kolek1.681011911113WSep 25 · 07:40B. Czerwinski1.4261414113M. Zagajewski2.6011121241LSep 25 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.3261111992M. Lukaszewski3.05119911113WSep 25 · 05:15B. Czerwinski1.2411114113B. Wisniewski3.28761171WSep 25 · 04:10R. Stapor2.5579110B. Czerwinski1.461111133WSep 25 · 03:25B. Czerwinski1.251111113D. Wrobel3.406880LSep 24 · 14:40B. Czerwinski1.5076111182F. Krcil2.40111178113WSep 24 · 13:05B. Czerwinski1.601111113A. Mugowski2.159890LSep 22 · 12:15A. Sobel1.76911512113B. Czerwinski1.90119111062
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