TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Adamus vs Pawel Kurek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116117––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1311116117––––
H2H Pawel Adamus 6–17 Pawel Kurek Pawel Adamus has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kurek beat Adamus 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Kurek 1.90
TT Elite Series · #13209329
Adamus1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 218 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it99% 105 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it79% 164 of 208
Kurek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 130 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus1wins
AwayKurek9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus33.3%1 of 3
AwayKurek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S2Adamus5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus3Kurek7n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S4Adamus4Kurek4n = 8split evenly
S5Adamus0Kurek5n = 5Kurek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKurekA − KBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.843.4−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 710 vs 447 / 88255.4%50.7%393 / 710 vs 447 / 882Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekAdamus 1.80/Kurek 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 21:30P. Adamus27111060P. Kurek361312113
LSep 23 · 01:10P. Adamus4568121182P. Kurek521111109113
LSep 21 · 01:55P. Adamus36712981P. Kurek43111011113
WSep 20 · 19:55P. Adamus43111011113P. Kurek33712861
LAug 27 · 01:10P. Adamus47101191162P. Kurek49129116113
LJul 17 · 22:35P. Adamus4311751462P. Kurek549111112113
LJul 17 · 15:00P. Adamus3811117632P. Kurek45481111113
LJul 15 · 09:50P. Adamus2681260P. Kurek361114113
LJul 15 · 05:40P. Adamus44101111572P. Kurek47126711113
LJul 1 · 08:35P. Adamus29711561P. Kurek3911611113
P. Adamus10
WSep 28 · 05:05P. Adamus2.051111123J. Pruszkowski1.6568100WSep 28 · 02:20P. Adamus1.571111113W. Urban2.256690WSep 28 · 00:45P. Adamus1.6511118113O. Vincenec2.05591181LSep 27 · 23:30P. Adamus1.9061151152M. Baron1.75119119113WSep 27 · 22:20O. Vincenec2.20471171P. Adamus1.5711117113LSep 27 · 21:30P. Kurek1.931312113P. Adamus1.78111060WSep 27 · 20:45P. Adamus1.5711911113J. Pruszkowski2.20511881WSep 27 · 19:10P. Adamus1.62119613113M. Baron2.17711111182WSep 27 · 18:20W. Urban2.4015990P. Adamus1.441711113LSep 25 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.901141011113P. Adamus1.8071112782
P. Kurek10
WSep 28 · 04:20O. Vincenec2.1510870P. Kurek1.621211113WSep 28 · 02:45P. Kurek1.6991111113J. Pruszkowski2.06118761WSep 28 · 01:10P. Kurek1.551211113M. Baron2.3010380WSep 28 · 00:20W. Urban2.009111071P. Kurek1.7011912113LSep 27 · 23:05P. Kurek2.4541311962J. Pruszkowski1.471111911113WSep 27 · 21:30P. Kurek1.931312113P. Adamus1.78111060WSep 27 · 20:20P. Kurek1.7011125113W. Urban2.006101181WSep 27 · 18:45P. Kurek1.701191314113O. Vincenec2.05711111672LSep 27 · 17:30P. Kurek1.66710110M. Baron2.051112133WSep 24 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.858580P. Kurek1.361111113
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