TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Linek vs Dawid Kotwica 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181412116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1181412116––––
H2H Adam Linek 58–47 Dawid Kotwica Dawid Kotwica has won 47 of their 105 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Kotwica beat Linek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.42 / Kotwica 2.60
TT Elite Series · #13209066
Linek1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 102 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it72% 74 of 103
Kotwica2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 138 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back19% 42 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 4 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek3wins
AwayKotwica7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKotwica leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinek40%2 of 5
AwayKotwica80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek5Kotwica5n = 10split evenly
S2Linek2Kotwica8n = 10Kotwica took 8 of 10
S3Linek6Kotwica4n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S4Linek4Kotwica5n = 9Kotwica took 5 of 9
S5Linek2Kotwica4n = 6Kotwica took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekKotwicaL − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.646.1−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekKotwicaBasisWin rate · lifetime764 / 1634 vs 648 / 157646.8%41.1%764 / 1634 vs 648 / 1576Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekLinek 1.42/Kotwica 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 15:50A. Linek4614612772D. Kotwica5512111011113
WSep 13 · 21:55A. Linek50118911113D. Kotwica4291111292
LAug 8 · 21:55A. Linek5211816892D. Kotwica558111411113
WJun 2 · 15:25A. Linek4413911113D. Kotwica381111791
LMay 25 · 18:10A. Linek2339110D. Kotwica351111133
LMay 19 · 01:25A. Linek3811101251D. Kotwica46131210113
LMay 18 · 22:55A. Linek48811111172D. Kotwica51111379113
WApr 25 · 05:25A. Linek47411911123D. Kotwica48119117102
LApr 25 · 03:00A. Linek28731171D. Kotwica4211119113
LApr 16 · 20:05A. Linek4011117922D. Kotwica49791111113
A. Linek10
LSep 27 · 23:45K. Rudomina1.7511911113A. Linek1.90611871LSep 27 · 22:35A. Linek1.917111171S. Brud1.8011139113LSep 27 · 21:55J. Glanowski2.4512811113A. Linek1.471011891WSep 27 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.60108110A. Linek1.421211133WSep 27 · 18:55S. Brud1.8581140A. Linek1.861113113WSep 27 · 18:10A. Linek1.411181411173J. Glanowski2.491311129152LSep 27 · 16:35A. Linek2.055711101K. Rudomina1.7011118123LSep 27 · 15:50D. Kotwica2.6712111011113A. Linek1.4214612772LSep 16 · 00:10L. Pietraszko1.50711711113A. Linek2.5011511872WSep 15 · 23:45A. Linek1.80513811113B. Kwodawski1.91111111892
D. Kotwica10
LSep 27 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.301111113D. Kotwica3.209990LSep 27 · 22:15S. Brud1.3513811113D. Kotwica2.851111491LSep 27 · 21:30J. Glanowski1.471111113D. Kotwica2.503250WSep 27 · 20:05D. Kotwica1.38111312113K. Rudomina2.838151091WSep 27 · 18:30D. Poloszczanski1.801113671D. Kotwica1.90131111113LSep 27 · 17:45S. Brud1.35913611113D. Kotwica2.99111111592LSep 27 · 16:55D. Kotwica2.50611641J. Glanowski1.4611911113WSep 27 · 15:50D. Kotwica2.6712111011113A. Linek1.4214612772WSep 26 · 23:20A. Mugowski1.5511811782D. Kotwica2.25811711113LSep 26 · 22:35K. Rudomina1.321111113D. Kotwica3.006960
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