TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Mrykh vs Evhenii Hrytsenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911511––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Mrykh to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Evhenii Hrytsenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Maksym Mrykh at 54.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 10–9 Evhenii Hrytsenko Evhenii Hrytsenko has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mrykh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1687 vs Hrytsenko 1616
Mrykh
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 40% vs Hrytsenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 60% vs Hrytsenko 40%
Mrykh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -3 · Hrytsenko -2
Mrykh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Mrykh) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrykh form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 1.73 / Hrytsenko 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Mrykh)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13208405
Mrykh1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Hrytsenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 83 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back29% 29 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh5wins
AwayHrytsenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh75%3 of 4
AwayHrytsenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh4Hrytsenko6n = 10Hrytsenko took 6 of 10
S2Mrykh6Hrytsenko4n = 10Mrykh took 6 of 10
S3Mrykh7Hrytsenko3n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S4Mrykh3Hrytsenko4n = 7Hrytsenko took 4 of 7
S5Mrykh1Hrytsenko2n = 3Hrytsenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoM − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.1−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhHrytsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 468 vs 314 / 63946.8%49.1%219 / 468 vs 314 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrykhMrykh 1.73/Hrytsenko 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Mrykh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrytsenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 08:50M. Mrykh38991191E. Hrytsenko4211119113
WSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh4211911113E. Hrytsenko35811971
LSep 21 · 18:30M. Mrykh334101181E. Hrytsenko4311129113
WSep 14 · 12:30M. Mrykh4051112123E. Hrytsenko3811710101
LSep 8 · 08:20M. Mrykh226790E. Hrytsenko331111113
LSep 7 · 15:00M. Mrykh4171181142E. Hrytsenko47117117113
WAug 21 · 08:20M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko239860
LAug 18 · 10:50M. Mrykh4211114882E. Hrytsenko48781111113
WJul 19 · 08:00M. Mrykh451111111113E. Hrytsenko4813891172
WJul 14 · 10:40M. Mrykh331111113E. Hrytsenko247890
M. Mrykh10
LSep 26 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.781111113M. Mrykh1.924490LSep 26 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3871111662M. Deineha1.53118811113LSep 26 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.5391181182O. Zhyrnov2.38116117113WSep 26 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.2071211113A. Derevianko1.611110861WSep 26 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.91116129113V. Savoliuk1.80911101182WSep 25 · 12:50M. Mrykh1.801111113O. Strutinskiy1.917360WSep 25 · 10:50I. Nitchenko1.91491271M. Mrykh1.80111110113LSep 25 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.2511119113M. Mrykh1.57991191WSep 25 · 07:50M. Mrykh2.101114116123A. Derevianko1.67816911102WSep 25 · 06:50A. Nazarov1.8010780M. Mrykh1.911211113
E. Hrytsenko10
LSep 28 · 11:40E. Hrytsenko2.63641141O. Strutinskiy1.4411119113LSep 25 · 11:50E. Hrytsenko1.677111011102I. Nitchenko2.10116128123WSep 25 · 10:20E. Hrytsenko3.251111116113A. Nazarov1.3371361182WSep 25 · 08:50E. Hrytsenko2.2511119113M. Mrykh1.57991191LSep 25 · 07:20E. Hrytsenko1.83105100O. Strutinskiy1.831211123LSep 25 · 05:50E. Hrytsenko2.258980A. Derevianko1.571111113WSep 22 · 12:50E. Hrytsenko1.801111113I. Nitchenko1.913440LSep 22 · 10:50A. Derevianko1.611111113E. Hrytsenko2.204680LSep 22 · 08:50M. Mrykh1.6711911113E. Hrytsenko2.10811971WSep 22 · 07:50E. Hrytsenko3.0011117113V. Savoliuk1.36491191
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