TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Moshovskyi vs Denys Maltsev 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141012119611711
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeVasyl Moshovskyi to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vasyl Moshovskyi @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 92 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Vasyl Moshovskyi at 56.1%
92 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 31–16 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 16 of their 47 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Moshovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-16 in 47
Moshovskyi
Wrong
gap of 15 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1496 vs Maltsev 1545
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 20% vs Maltsev 60%
Maltsev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 30% vs Maltsev 50%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -1 · Maltsev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Moshovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 1.61 / Maltsev 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Moshovskyi)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13207691
Moshovskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 54 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Maltsev2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 83 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi6wins
AwayMaltsev4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMoshovskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi85.7%6 of 7
AwayMaltsev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi7Maltsev3n = 10Moshovskyi took 7 of 10
S2Moshovskyi5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Moshovskyi5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S4Moshovskyi5Maltsev3n = 8Moshovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Moshovskyi1Maltsev2n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiMaltsevMoshovskyi − MaltsevBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.4+2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 345 vs 460 / 89354.2%51.5%187 / 345 vs 460 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoshovskyiMoshovskyi 1.61/Maltsev 2.20
Miss
What we said
56.1%
Moshovskyi · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vasyl Moshovskyi @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
2–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 11:25V. Moshovskyi43111011113D. Maltsev34812681
WSep 25 · 17:55V. Moshovskyi4415117113D. Maltsev381371171
WSep 21 · 00:45V. Moshovskyi341211113D. Maltsev2810990
WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi5311111010113D. Maltsev4668121282
LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi48137117102D. Maltsev511111611123
LAug 28 · 22:15V. Moshovskyi47610111282D. Maltsev471112310113
WAug 26 · 06:35V. Moshovskyi4011117113D. Maltsev31961151
LAug 19 · 10:05V. Moshovskyi30101370D. Maltsev381215113
LAug 8 · 06:25V. Moshovskyi30481171D. Maltsev3511112113
WAug 4 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi4911168143D. Maltsev4691411121
V. Moshovskyi10
LSep 28 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi2.753790I. Pytsko1.401111113WSep 26 · 11:25V. Moshovskyi1.67111011113D. Maltsev2.10812681LSep 26 · 09:25I. Pytsko1.40811311113V. Moshovskyi2.7511711422LSep 26 · 07:25T. Gil2.631111113V. Moshovskyi1.446770LSep 26 · 06:25V. Moshovskyi2.00131061152M. Potapov1.731112117113LSep 26 · 05:25O. Storozhenko1.67141134123V. Moshovskyi2.101281111102WSep 25 · 17:55D. Maltsev2.101371171V. Moshovskyi1.6715117113WSep 25 · 16:55V. Moshovskyi2.10311611113M. Potapov1.6711811792LSep 25 · 15:55V. Moshovskyi2.1011511492O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 25 · 14:25V. Moshovskyi1.61101070Y. Tebenko2.201212113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 28 · 20:30V. Korobko3.50113571D. Maltsev1.2871111113LSep 26 · 11:25V. Moshovskyi1.67111011113D. Maltsev2.10812681LSep 26 · 09:55D. Maltsev1.6758131172M. Potapov2.101111116113WSep 26 · 07:55O. Storozhenko1.67610120D. Maltsev2.101112143WSep 26 · 05:55T. Gil1.531211114102D. Maltsev2.381091311123LSep 26 · 04:55I. Pytsko1.36119118113D. Maltsev3.0041171152LSep 25 · 17:55D. Maltsev2.101371171V. Moshovskyi1.6715117113LSep 25 · 16:25D. Maltsev2.00911771Y. Tebenko1.7311611113WSep 25 · 14:55D. Maltsev1.801111113M. Potapov1.919980WSep 25 · 13:25D. Maltsev3.00116711113I. Pytsko1.3691111732
Upcoming Matches
V. Moshovskyi
D. Maltsev
Sep 28 · 23:30D. Maltsev1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—Sep 29 · 01:30D. Maltsev2.75I. Pytsko1.40—Sep 29 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.67M. Potapov2.10—Sep 29 · 12:35D. Maltsev1.50M. Slozka2.50—Sep 29 · 13:35D. Maltsev1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—Sep 29 · 15:35D. Maltsev2.00Y. Tebenko1.73—Sep 29 · 17:35D. Maltsev2.75I. Pytsko1.40—Sep 29 · 19:05D. Maltsev1.91O. Storozhenko1.80—
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