TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Skorski vs Adrian Eliasz 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1214119118117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1214119118117––
H2H Michal Skorski 11–10 Adrian Eliasz Adrian Eliasz has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Skorski beat Eliasz 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Eliasz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 1.80 / Eliasz 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skorski)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13206790
Skorski1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 141 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it99% 66 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it77% 111 of 144
Eliasz1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 73 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back18% 24 of 132
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski5wins
AwayEliasz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski60%3 of 5
AwayEliasz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski5Eliasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Skorski6Eliasz4n = 10Skorski took 6 of 10
S3Skorski8Eliasz2n = 10Skorski took 8 of 10
S4Skorski4Eliasz4n = 8split evenly
S5Skorski1Eliasz4n = 5Eliasz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiEliaszS − EBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.940.2+2.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiEliaszBasisWin rate · lifetime720 / 1490 vs 354 / 94048.3%37.7%720 / 1490 vs 354 / 940Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiSkorski 1.80/Eliasz 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 08:35M. Skorski351113113A. Eliasz2351170
LSep 20 · 13:30M. Skorski48101181182A. Eliasz48129115113
WSep 18 · 23:20M. Skorski4491211123A. Eliasz3611105101
WAug 21 · 21:30M. Skorski4181111113A. Eliasz33119581
LAug 21 · 18:30M. Skorski386131181A. Eliasz4511158113
WAug 18 · 22:55M. Skorski47115911113A. Eliasz4181111562
WAug 18 · 20:05M. Skorski331111113A. Eliasz187470
LAug 3 · 22:55M. Skorski4371111952A. Eliasz48117811113
LAug 3 · 15:50M. Skorski55116161392A. Eliasz598111415113
LJul 29 · 23:45M. Skorski4511912582A. Eliasz518111011113
M. Skorski10
LSep 27 · 12:40M. Skorski1.85116101152T. Pisarczyk1.85911127113WSep 27 · 11:25M. Skorski1.756111114113W. Suchecki1.9511361652WSep 27 · 10:10F. Jablonski2.10611681M. Skorski1.6511911113LSep 27 · 09:25M. Skorski1.95117951M. Sinicki1.7581111113WSep 27 · 08:35M. Skorski1.701113113A. Eliasz1.9551170LSep 27 · 06:55M. Skorski1.9586111182M. Sinicki1.77111189113LSep 27 · 05:40M. Skorski1.7558100J. Rolak1.951111123LSep 27 · 04:10M. Skorski1.75812891F. Jablonski1.95111011113WSep 27 · 03:00M. Skorski1.60471111113W. Suchecki2.1511117872WSep 25 · 00:35P. Krukar1.8991191192M. Skorski1.82114114113
A. Eliasz10
WSep 27 · 13:05F. Jablonski2.1011381282A. Eliasz1.636111110113WSep 27 · 12:15A. Eliasz2.05129811133M. Sinicki1.701011117112WSep 27 · 10:35A. Eliasz1.60111011113W. Suchecki2.10512591WSep 27 · 09:50T. Pisarczyk1.73751131A. Eliasz1.9811116113LSep 27 · 08:35M. Skorski1.701113113A. Eliasz1.9551170WSep 27 · 07:20A. Eliasz1.5511116113W. Suchecki2.25771191WSep 27 · 06:05M. Sinicki1.91881281A. Eliasz1.80111110113LSep 27 · 04:55J. Rolak1.9511117113A. Eliasz1.75661191LSep 27 · 03:25F. Jablonski2.05111178113A. Eliasz1.6898111192LSep 26 · 00:10A. Eliasz1.987101181M. Lukaszewski1.7511128113
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