TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Adamus vs Rafal Idaczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11741114121412––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
11741114121412––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 21–26 Rafal Idaczyk Mariusz Adamus has won 21 of their 47 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Idaczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.78 / Idaczyk 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamus)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13199015
Adamus1.78
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 201 of 375
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it71% 138 of 195
Idaczyk1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 100 of 276
Down 0–1, comes back16% 26 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayIdaczyk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayIdaczyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Idaczyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus2Idaczyk8n = 10Idaczyk took 8 of 10
S3Adamus3Idaczyk7n = 10Idaczyk took 7 of 10
S4Adamus3Idaczyk5n = 8Idaczyk took 5 of 8
S5Adamus2Idaczyk1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusIdaczykA − IBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.042.1−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusIdaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime800 / 1633 vs 471 / 94649%49.8%800 / 1633 vs 471 / 946Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.78/Idaczyk 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 06:45M. Adamus4611981172R. Idaczyk46511118113
LJul 18 · 04:25M. Adamus259790R. Idaczyk331111113
LJun 10 · 13:30M. Adamus366101191R. Idaczyk4111127113
LJun 10 · 07:30M. Adamus29116841R. Idaczyk4181111113
LMay 23 · 08:00M. Adamus206950R. Idaczyk331111113
WMay 19 · 08:00M. Adamus611681111153R. Idaczyk591411813132
WMay 13 · 17:10M. Adamus491141211113R. Idaczyk4151114382
LMay 6 · 19:10M. Adamus378101541R. Idaczyk47111213113
WMar 10 · 09:00M. Adamus3911116113R. Idaczyk34591191
LFeb 3 · 05:00M. Adamus381014861R. Idaczyk46121211113
M. Adamus10
WSep 26 · 06:45M. Adamus1.90712411113P. Mecik1.80111011962WSep 26 · 05:35M. Adamus1.781116911113T. Lojtek1.9391811772WSep 26 · 04:25K. Adamus1.659590M. Adamus2.051111113LSep 26 · 03:35M. Adamus2.39113131182R. Adach1.52411159113WSep 25 · 10:20M. Adamus1.641111106113K. Slawinski2.1337121192WSep 25 · 09:05M. Adamus1.80111147113K. Schaniel1.9097111192LSep 25 · 07:55M. Adamus2.40871191I. Szymanski1.5111117113LSep 25 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5711113113M. Adamus2.25361151WSep 25 · 05:55M. Adamus1.2312911113M. Cesarz3.801011661LSep 24 · 20:45G. Jurowicz2.87611114113M. Adamus1.3711671172
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 26 · 07:10K. Adamus1.687870R. Idaczyk2.051111113LSep 26 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.557560R. Adach2.251111113WSep 26 · 04:50R. Idaczyk1.70711511113T. Lojtek2.0011511772WSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113WSep 25 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.251111133P. Gumulinski1.5796110LSep 25 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.735970S. Juzek2.001111113WSep 25 · 11:25R. Idaczyk1.801181111113M. Paszkiewicz1.9181151372LSep 25 · 10:10Z. Sobkow1.86711118113R. Idaczyk1.8311681182LSep 25 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3891130K. Jablonski1.531113113LSep 25 · 07:45R. Idaczyk1.73511951Z. Sobkow2.0011711113
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