TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Natkaniec vs Michal Wolny · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25No result
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
No score — the match was not completed
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
H2H Michal Natkaniec 6–14 Michal Wolny Michal Natkaniec has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Natkaniec beat Wolny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNatkaniec 2.05 / Wolny 1.65
TT Elite Series · #13197560
Natkaniec2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 35 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 57
Wolny1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 57 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it85% 44 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNatkaniec6wins
AwayWolny4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNatkaniec leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNatkaniec100%4 of 4
AwayWolny80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Natkaniec4Wolny5n = 9Wolny took 5 of 9
S2Natkaniec5Wolny4n = 9Natkaniec took 5 of 9
S3Natkaniec5Wolny4n = 9Natkaniec took 5 of 9
S4Natkaniec4Wolny2n = 6Natkaniec took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNatkaniecWolnyN − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.736.3+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNatkaniecWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 406 vs 265 / 56433.7%47%137 / 406 vs 265 / 564Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Natkaniec 2.05/Wolny 1.65
Not settled
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
—
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 25 · 17:10M. Natkaniec44111210113M. Wolny389101271
LAug 29 · 02:45M. Natkaniec203890M. Wolny331111113
WAug 28 · 18:25M. Natkaniec44111111113M. Wolny38139791
WJul 24 · 17:10M. Natkaniec47111411113M. Wolny41816981
WApr 25 · 01:10M. Natkaniec4011711113M. Wolny29311781
LApr 24 · 19:10M. Natkaniec497111110102M. Wolny50118712123
LJan 17 · 00:35M. Natkaniec196580M. Wolny331111113
WJan 16 · 18:35M. Natkaniec331111113M. Wolny259970
LJan 3 · 01:45M. Natkaniec348111051M. Wolny4011612113
M. Natkaniec10
LSep 26 · 00:00M. Krutak1.905101111113M. Natkaniec1.7511125772LSep 25 · 22:00M. Natkaniec4.206830C. Pawlik1.201111113LSep 25 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.807690M. Warzecha1.201111113WSep 25 · 18:45M. Wozniczka1.5551180M. Natkaniec2.301113113LSep 25 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.1811116113M. Natkaniec4.50621131WSep 25 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.05111210113M. Wolny1.669101271LSep 25 · 16:00M. Natkaniec2.001171391M. Krutak1.7071115113LSep 19 · 02:20M. Natkaniec3.6591111111J. Oracz1.1711133133LSep 19 · 00:45M. Krutak1.521111113M. Natkaniec2.358980WSep 19 · 00:00D. Pyrek1.87118731M. Natkaniec1.8551111113
M. Wolny10
LSep 26 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.251111113M. Wolny3.628780WSep 25 · 21:35M. Wozniczka1.45511351M. Wolny2.5011811113LSep 25 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.22911119113M. Wolny3.6511591192LSep 25 · 19:35M. Wolny2.507970M. Warzecha1.451111113LSep 25 · 18:25M. Krutak1.35111111113M. Wolny2.90561361LSep 25 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.05111210113M. Wolny1.669101271LSep 25 · 15:35M. Wozniczka1.6651111143M. Wolny2.101156121LSep 14 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.68117911113M. Wolny2.0561111982LSep 14 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.67512118113M. Wolny2.09111081182WSep 14 · 06:30T. Przebierala4.454360M. Wolny1.161111113
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