TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Krutak vs Miroslaw Warzecha 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118411711––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
511118411711––
H2H Michal Krutak 2–5 Miroslaw Warzecha Michal Krutak has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Warzecha beat Krutak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Warzecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 2.05 / Warzecha 1.68
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13197115
Krutak2.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Warzecha1.68
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite73% won 359 of 493
Up 2–0, closes it97% 205 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it89% 268 of 301
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrutak2wins
AwayWarzecha5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderWarzecha leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak50%2 of 4
AwayWarzecha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak4Warzecha3n = 7Krutak took 4 of 7
S2Krutak4Warzecha3n = 7Krutak took 4 of 7
S3Krutak2Warzecha5n = 7Warzecha took 5 of 7
S4Krutak0Warzecha5n = 5Warzecha took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrutakWarzechaK − WBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match36.940.3−3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime212 / 352 vs 849 / 120560.2%70.5%212 / 352 vs 849 / 1205Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaKrutak 2.05/Warzecha 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 25 · 16:50M. Krutak391011991M. Warzecha4212811113
LAug 10 · 22:50M. Krutak339122101M. Warzecha44111011123
LAug 10 · 16:55M. Krutak2561270M. Warzecha361114113
LAug 3 · 21:20M. Krutak4111712382M. Warzecha474111011113
WAug 3 · 15:25M. Krutak331111113M. Warzecha218670
LJan 31 · 01:25M. Krutak34119951M. Warzecha4181111113
WJan 30 · 21:45M. Krutak531212108113M. Warzecha511010121182
M. Krutak10
WSep 25 · 20:00M. Wozniczka1.7097111122M. Krutak2.00111198113WSep 25 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.9011510101M. Krutak1.7591112123WSep 25 · 18:25M. Krutak1.35111111113M. Wolny2.90561361LSep 25 · 16:50M. Krutak2.011011991M. Warzecha1.7212811113WSep 25 · 16:00M. Natkaniec2.001171391M. Krutak1.7071115113WSep 19 · 02:00M. Krutak1.9091111113C. Pawlik1.80117981WSep 19 · 00:45M. Krutak1.521111113M. Natkaniec2.358980LSep 18 · 23:35M. Krutak2.50911761J. Oracz1.4611811113WSep 18 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.7511211562M. Krutak1.95911811113LSep 18 · 21:35M. Krutak1.953660O. Jedrzejowski1.761111113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 25 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.807690M. Warzecha1.201111113WSep 25 · 19:35M. Wolny2.507970M. Warzecha1.451111113WSep 25 · 17:35M. Wozniczka2.2081161192M. Warzecha1.57116119113WSep 25 · 16:50M. Krutak2.011011991M. Warzecha1.7212811113LSep 25 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.831051111113M. Warzecha1.8712117992WSep 24 · 04:20W. Stechly9.2551171252M. Warzecha1.051171110113WSep 24 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.688960M. Warzecha2.051111113LSep 24 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.706240K. Kwiatkowski2.051111113WSep 24 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.801111113J. Zelezik1.906450WSep 24 · 00:20M. Karpiuk2.801211221M. Warzecha1.3714811113
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