TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Anatolii Kovalenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12141315611––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched: 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Volynets to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 71 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Oleh Volynets at 66.7%
71 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 7–5 Anatolii Kovalenko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2866.7%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 4.7pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Volynets
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Volynets
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1466 vs Kovalenko 1441
Volynets
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 80% vs Kovalenko 40%
Volynets
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 80% vs Kovalenko 30%
Volynets
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets +3 · Kovalenko +1
Volynets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Volynets) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 1.40 / Kovalenko 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Volynets)-4.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245089
Volynets1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 74 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it79% 30 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it63% 44 of 70
Kovalenko2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 37 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolynets7wins
AwayKovalenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVolynets leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets100%5 of 5
AwayKovalenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Volynets7Kovalenko3n = 10Volynets took 7 of 10
S3Volynets8Kovalenko2n = 10Volynets took 8 of 10
S4Volynets1Kovalenko2n = 3Kovalenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolynetsKovalenkoV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.730.1+4.6per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 612 vs 302 / 57353.1%52.7%325 / 612 vs 302 / 573Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolynetsVolynets 1.40/Kovalenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Volynets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 07:30O. Volynets31121360A. Kovalenko401415113
WSep 30 · 06:30O. Volynets331111113A. Kovalenko207670
LSep 29 · 10:35O. Volynets258980A. Kovalenko331111113
WAug 11 · 10:40O. Volynets331111113A. Kovalenko237880
WMar 25 · 12:35O. Volynets331111113A. Kovalenko177820
WMar 24 · 12:30O. Volynets47711126113A. Kovalenko41118101112
WMar 17 · 12:00O. Volynets351113113A. Kovalenko2581160
WMar 10 · 13:10O. Volynets361212123A. Kovalenko301010100
LMar 2 · 06:05O. Volynets368611111A. Kovalenko4211117133
WFeb 24 · 17:40O. Volynets3851111113A. Kovalenko30115861
O. Volynets10
WOct 5 · 06:00O. Volynets2.101111113S. Solomko1.679930WOct 5 · 04:30O. Volynets1.5711411123E. Populovskyi2.254117101WSep 30 · 11:00O. Shyshman2.50119581O. Volynets1.5071111113LSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960WSep 30 · 08:30E. Populovskyi2.25111131252O. Volynets1.57861114113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Kovalenko2.637670O. Volynets1.441111113WSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113WSep 29 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2.631111451O. Volynets1.4471311113LSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980WSep 29 · 09:05I. Emets2.255870O. Volynets1.571111113
A. Kovalenko10
WOct 5 · 06:30A. Kovalenko1.9111118163E. Populovskyi1.807611141LOct 5 · 05:30O. Leonenko1.73111312113A. Kovalenko2.007151061LOct 4 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.00101211113A. Kovalenko1.731210741LOct 4 · 11:20A. Kovalenko2.258930O. Osadchyi1.571111113WOct 4 · 09:20A. Martyniuk1.40111171182A. Kovalenko2.75681113113LOct 4 · 07:20E. Populovskyi1.9111115123A. Kovalenko1.805711101LOct 4 · 06:20S. Solomko1.731111113A. Kovalenko2.005680LOct 3 · 19:00A. Kovalenko1.8091111872E. Populovskyi1.91114811113LSep 30 · 06:30A. Kovalenko2.637670O. Volynets1.441111113WSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980
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