TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Glanowski vs Dawid Kosmal 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191214711811––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched: 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeDawid Kosmal to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Dawid Kosmal @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingJakub Glanowski above · Dawid Kosmal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Dawid Kosmal at 56.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Glanowski 11–13 Dawid Kosmal Jakub Glanowski has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:3356.9%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.0pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kosmal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Kosmal
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1453 vs Kosmal 1651
Kosmal
Correct
both rated, 198 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 60% vs Kosmal 80%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 60% vs Kosmal 80%
Kosmal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +3 · Kosmal +2
Glanowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Kosmal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosmal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.00 / Kosmal 1.727
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kosmal)-1.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13222183
Glanowski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 29)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 126 of 330
Down 0–1, comes back20% 34 of 169
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 92
Kosmal1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 159 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it96% 87 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it84% 129 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski3wins
AwayKosmal7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosmal leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski50%2 of 4
AwayKosmal83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski4Kosmal6n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Glanowski2Kosmal8n = 10Kosmal took 8 of 10
S3Glanowski5Kosmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Glanowski1Kosmal8n = 9Kosmal took 8 of 9
S5Glanowski3Kosmal0n = 3Glanowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiKosmalG − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.142.0−5.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiKosmalBasisWin rate · lifetime888 / 1784 vs 358 / 66549.8%53.8%888 / 1784 vs 358 / 665Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalGlanowski 2.00/Kosmal 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Dawid Kosmal @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
1–3
Kosmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 06:50J. Glanowski33641581D. Kosmal46111113113
LAug 11 · 09:25J. Glanowski25113831D. Kosmal3851111113
WAug 11 · 05:15J. Glanowski48681211113D. Kosmal47111110872
WAug 10 · 11:00J. Glanowski47111267113D. Kosmal39410111132
LJul 24 · 08:30J. Glanowski248790D. Kosmal331111113
LJul 24 · 06:00J. Glanowski428811151D. Kosmal4811119173
LJul 15 · 08:05J. Glanowski30116581D. Kosmal3741111113
WJul 15 · 05:35J. Glanowski51131179113D. Kosmal50118111192
LJun 10 · 16:15J. Glanowski351391121D. Kosmal4315116113
LMay 21 · 15:00J. Glanowski26261171D. Kosmal3911116113
J. Glanowski10
WSep 29 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.6711118113B. Kwodawski2.10951151WSep 28 · 23:20J. Glanowski3.401211611113J. Mitas1.3014911492WSep 28 · 21:49J. Glanowski1.61911112113J. Nadolny2.2011351192LSep 28 · 21:25J. Glanowski1.731111361K. Rudomina2.0091115113LSep 28 · 20:30J. Mitas1.4441111123J. Glanowski2.631164101WSep 28 · 19:15J. Glanowski1.57111169113B. Kwodawski2.2554111182WSep 28 · 18:04J. Nadolny1.6111870J. Glanowski2.201311113WSep 28 · 16:55K. Rudomina2.2511111112102J. Glanowski1.57613814123LSep 28 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.531111113J. Glanowski2.386530LSep 28 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.91611991K. Rudomina1.8011711113
D. Kosmal10
LOct 1 · 16:30D. Kosmal1.501112981A. Mugowski2.5091411113WOct 1 · 14:40D. Kosmal1.651111133B. Czerwinski2.1078110WOct 1 · 13:05D. Kosmal1.40471112113A. Mugowski2.65111121092LOct 1 · 11:50D. Kosmal1.7671191162R. Stapor1.96119119113WOct 1 · 10:10D. Kosmal1.60411115113M. Minda2.2011471192WOct 1 · 09:00D. Kosmal1.6311811113J. Zochniak2.15511961WSep 26 · 14:35D. Kosmal1.6311121110113A. Wos2.1551451282WSep 26 · 13:00D. Kosmal1.4211112113B. Mleczko2.60691141LSep 26 · 11:45D. Kosmal1.858760T. Filbrandt1.801111113WSep 26 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.251111113I. Dabrowski3.409670
Upcoming Matches
J. Glanowski
Oct 1 · 17:40J. Glanowski3.25K. Staszczyk1.33—Oct 1 · 18:30J. Glanowski2.20A. Linek1.61—Oct 1 · 20:05J. Glanowski1.91A. Mugowski1.80—Oct 1 · 21:00J. Glanowski2.75K. Staszczyk1.40—Oct 1 · 22:55J. Glanowski2.20A. Linek1.61—Oct 1 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.73B. Sulkowski2.00—Oct 2 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.91D. Solilo1.80—Oct 2 · 15:00J. Glanowski—M. Trela——Oct 2 · 16:35J. Glanowski—P. Strus——Oct 2 · 17:20J. Glanowski—K. Klocek——
D. Kosmal
Oct 1 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.67D. Solilo2.10—Oct 1 · 18:50D. Kosmal2.25K. Staszczyk1.57—Oct 1 · 19:40D. Kosmal1.44A. Linek2.63—Oct 2 · 09:00D. Kosmal—K. Wisniewski——Oct 2 · 10:05D. Kosmal—P. Jendrzejewski——Oct 2 · 11:45D. Kosmal—K. Kapik——Oct 2 · 13:00D. Kosmal—G. Poliniewicz——Oct 2 · 14:35D. Kosmal—M. Rutkowski——Oct 2 · 16:30D. Kosmal—G. Kesik——Oct 2 · 17:20D. Kosmal—K. Staszczyk——
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