TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Slozka vs Oleksii Rodin 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911116511117
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 4–3 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1608 vs Rodin 1698
Rodin
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 20% vs Rodin 80%
Rodin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 30% vs Rodin 60%
Rodin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -3 · Rodin +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.91 / Rodin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13186187
Slozka1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 115 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back27% 31 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Rodin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 148 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it79% 102 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSlozka4wins
AwayRodin3wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSlozka leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka66.7%2 of 3
AwayRodin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka3Rodin4n = 7Rodin took 4 of 7
S2Slozka4Rodin3n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S3Slozka3Rodin4n = 7Rodin took 4 of 7
S4Slozka4Rodin0n = 4Slozka took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricSlozkaRodinS − RBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match35.631.7+3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 846 vs 195 / 32945%59.3%381 / 846 vs 195 / 329Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinSlozka 1.91/Rodin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 21 · 23:45V. Slozka4911991192O. Rodin45811114113
WSep 21 · 03:00V. Slozka4291111113O. Rodin31118661
LSep 17 · 14:05V. Slozka2595110O. Rodin351111133
LSep 16 · 21:30V. Slozka237790O. Rodin331111113
WAug 28 · 11:05V. Slozka4181111113O. Rodin31118841
WAug 27 · 14:05V. Slozka3611113113O. Rodin29371181
WAug 26 · 22:00V. Slozka331111113O. Rodin188550
V. Slozka10
LSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka1.83111251192O. Rodin1.83714117113WSep 25 · 09:35M. Loboda1.6161171182V. Slozka2.20119117113WSep 25 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.579490V. Slozka2.251111113WSep 25 · 06:35V. Slozka1.8310111110113V. Krokhmal1.8312671232WSep 25 · 05:35A. Nazrin1.5011911362V. Slozka2.50511511113WSep 24 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.839670V. Slozka1.831111113LSep 24 · 15:35I. Hrekh1.611111113V. Slozka2.206660LSep 24 · 13:35A. Nazrin1.5741111113V. Slozka2.25114381LSep 24 · 12:35M. Loboda1.671111113V. Slozka2.106500WSep 24 · 03:00V. Slozka1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.388680
O. Rodin10
WSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka1.83111251192O. Rodin1.83714117113WSep 25 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8314911113V. Krokhmal1.831211991LSep 25 · 08:05A. Nazrin2.3811611113O. Rodin1.53611531WSep 25 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.5081050O. Rodin2.501112113WSep 25 · 05:05M. Loboda1.91112841O. Rodin1.8091111113LSep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh1.50131112113O. Rodin2.501131481WSep 24 · 16:05M. Loboda1.738790O. Rodin2.001111113WSep 24 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.2011621292O. Rodin1.616111110113WSep 24 · 12:05A. Nazrin1.80771171O. Rodin1.9111119113LSep 22 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.381112116113O. Rodin1.5391451172
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