TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ruslan Andrishak vs Dmytro Palii 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Ruslan Andrishak
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114114––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Andrishak above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Dmytro Palii at 55.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Andrishak 1–0 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5155.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Palii
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Andrishak 1533 vs Palii 1607
Palii
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Andrishak 20% vs Palii 40%
Palii
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Andrishak 50% vs Palii 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Andrishak -1 · Palii +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Palii) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAndrishak 2.10 / Palii 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Palii)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276274
Andrishak2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 5 of 10
Palii1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 28 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAndrishak1wins
AwayPalii0wins
Andrishak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAndrishakPaliiA − PBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.039.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAndrishakPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 83 vs 142 / 23953%59.4%44 / 83 vs 142 / 239Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiAndrishak 2.10/Palii 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Andrishak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WNov 16 · 06:25R. Andrishak4591114113D. Palii391191271
R. Andrishak10
LOct 11 · 08:55A. Kotiash2.101511611113R. Andrishak1.67135111382WOct 11 · 07:55R. Andrishak1.831111113M. Slozka1.836580LOct 11 · 06:55M. Potapov1.6111129143R. Andrishak2.2071011121LOct 11 · 05:25R. Andrishak2.3811712842V. Korobko1.534111011113LAug 23 · 11:25R. Andrishak1.911091161I. Pytsko1.8012116113WAug 23 · 09:25O. Lutsyshyn2.385760R. Andrishak1.531111113WAug 23 · 07:25M. Slozka1.831291181R. Andrishak1.83101113113WAug 23 · 06:25R. Andrishak1.83131111113V. Hrybeniuk1.83158781LAug 23 · 05:25V. Korobko1.7381111113R. Andrishak2.00116761WJul 19 · 11:25R. Andrishak1.44111111123O. Lutsyshyn2.631345101
D. Palii10
WOct 11 · 09:55M. Slozka2.2512311982D. Palii1.571011211113LOct 11 · 08:25M. Potapov2.38118115113D. Palii1.5361181122WOct 11 · 06:25V. Korobko2.75187441D. Palii1.40161111113LOct 11 · 04:25A. Kotiash3.501111113D. Palii1.284660LOct 10 · 19:05D. Palii1.8012117662I. Fashchevskyi1.911061111113WOct 10 · 17:05M. Potapov2.201231151D. Palii1.6114117113WOct 10 · 15:05M. Slozka2.209640D. Palii1.611111113LOct 10 · 14:05D. Palii2.25711761I. Pytsko1.571171193LOct 10 · 13:05D. Maltsev2.10117119113D. Palii1.6771111162WOct 10 · 03:00D. Palii1.831212113M. Potapov1.83101070
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