TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Erik Mares vs Jan Zajicek 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911115113––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingErik Mares above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-3
Point 67 set 4, 10-3
67 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Erik Mares 66–67 Jan Zajicek Erik Mares has won 66 of their 133 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
They have already met 3 times today · last one 1h before this match
Mares beat Zajicek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.909 / Zajicek 1.80
Czech Liga Pro · #13275600
Mares1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 112 of 248
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77
Zajicek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite65% won 98 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it95% 58 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it83% 78 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares5wins
AwayZajicek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares57.1%4 of 7
AwayZajicek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares7Zajicek3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Mares4Zajicek6n = 10Zajicek took 6 of 10
S3Mares6Zajicek4n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S4Mares3Zajicek4n = 7Zajicek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresZajicekM − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.636.3+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1226 vs 322 / 61850%52.1%613 / 1226 vs 322 / 618Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekMares 1.91/Zajicek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 10 · 16:00E. Mares341112113J. Zajicek2051050
LOct 10 · 13:00E. Mares30117751J. Zajicek3741111113
LOct 10 · 12:30E. Mares4415116662J. Zajicek531371111113
WOct 7 · 19:00E. Mares351111133J. Zajicek2458110
LSep 24 · 19:00E. Mares205960J. Zajicek331111113
LSep 21 · 16:58E. Mares421291291J. Zajicek46141110113
WSep 21 · 16:00E. Mares4261411113J. Zajicek381112961
WSep 16 · 19:30E. Mares4311912113J. Zajicek378111081
LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares361111771J. Zajicek4161311113
WSep 5 · 11:30E. Mares4011711113J. Zajicek34911681
E. Mares10
WOct 10 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.7551050E. Mares1.851112113LOct 10 · 15:00J. Medek1.57512711113E. Mares2.25111011522LOct 10 · 14:30E. Mares2.63911921L. Boruvka1.4411611113LOct 10 · 13:00J. Zajicek2.0041111113E. Mares1.73117751LOct 10 · 12:30E. Mares1.9115116662J. Zajicek1.801371111113LOct 10 · 11:00E. Mares2.507930J. Medek1.501111113WOct 10 · 10:00L. Boruvka1.401199101E. Mares2.7551111123LOct 8 · 03:30T. Postelt2.001411113E. Mares1.7312990LOct 8 · 02:00E. Mares1.67811157112J. Ruzicka2.101171311133WOct 8 · 01:00E. Mares1.8311117113L. Zeman1.83951181
J. Zajicek10
LOct 10 · 16:00J. Zajicek1.7551050E. Mares1.851112113LOct 10 · 15:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.506660LOct 10 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.008580J. Medek1.731111113WOct 10 · 13:00J. Zajicek2.0041111113E. Mares1.73117751WOct 10 · 12:30E. Mares1.9115116662J. Zajicek1.801371111113LOct 10 · 11:30J. Zajicek4.50413831L. Boruvka1.17111111113LOct 10 · 10:30J. Medek1.738111011113J. Zajicek2.0011812942LOct 7 · 21:00J. Vales2.40111199113J. Zajicek1.5096111182LOct 7 · 20:00J. Medek1.6111119113J. Zajicek2.20851181LOct 7 · 19:00E. Mares1.801111133J. Zajicek1.9158110
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