TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dariusz Maszczynski vs Miroslaw Lewczuk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 79.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 10–27 Miroslaw Lewczuk Dariusz Maszczynski has won 10 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2579.4%Our read80.0%to break even at 1.25
short by 0.6pp80.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.25 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-27 in 37
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 17 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1170 vs Lewczuk 1401
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 231 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 0% vs Lewczuk 60%
Lewczuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 10% vs Lewczuk 40%
Lewczuk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -8 · Lewczuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Lewczuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 3.75 / Lewczuk 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Lewczuk)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13274457
Maszczynski3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog23% won 71 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 212
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 144
Lewczuk1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 181 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it97% 118 of 122
Up 1–0, closes it83% 141 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaszczynski2wins
AwayLewczuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLewczuk88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S2Maszczynski1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S3Maszczynski5Lewczuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Maszczynski1Lewczuk5n = 6Lewczuk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiLewczukM − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.138.8−7.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 489 vs 506 / 99022.5%51.1%110 / 489 vs 506 / 990Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukMaszczynski 3.75/Lewczuk 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 21:00D. Maszczynski30661171M. Lewczuk4011117113
LAug 15 · 16:35D. Maszczynski33941191M. Lewczuk3711114113
LAug 8 · 21:20D. Maszczynski31101470M. Lewczuk391216113
LAug 8 · 15:25D. Maszczynski23471111M. Lewczuk3711114113
WJun 28 · 01:00D. Maszczynski531112811113M. Lewczuk50131011792
LJun 27 · 18:55D. Maszczynski2021080M. Lewczuk341112113
LJun 22 · 20:00D. Maszczynski185580M. Lewczuk331111113
WJun 15 · 22:00D. Maszczynski50115158113M. Lewczuk48611131172
LJun 15 · 18:00D. Maszczynski32571191M. Lewczuk3711114113
LJun 9 · 00:45D. Maszczynski215880M. Lewczuk331111113
D. Maszczynski10
LOct 10 · 19:40D. Maszczynski1.916360A. Szurgot1.801111113LOct 10 · 17:20D. Maszczynski5.00291151A. Fomin1.1411118113LOct 10 · 16:15P. Gesiarz1.3311117113D. Maszczynski3.25831161LOct 10 · 15:25D. Maszczynski3.00111151162D. Pyrek1.36831113113LOct 5 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.1211114143D. Maszczynski5.753911121LOct 5 · 19:10A. Zmijewski1.161111113D. Maszczynski4.809360LOct 5 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.70611111462A. Staniczek1.411181312113LOct 5 · 16:50D. Maszczynski3.2071190A. Kubiak1.271113113LOct 5 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.281111113D. Maszczynski3.405790WOct 5 · 08:00J. Slawomir2.1281112121D. Maszczynski1.6511614143
M. Lewczuk10
WOct 10 · 17:45P. Gesiarz2.38117561M. Lewczuk1.5381111113WOct 10 · 16:55M. Lewczuk1.7381111113D. Pyrek2.00115531WOct 10 · 15:50M. Lewczuk1.221111113A. Szurgot4.009590LOct 8 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.502340J. Zelezik1.501111113LOct 8 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.9168111182J. Michalik1.80111166113LOct 7 · 23:20M. Lewczuk2.007510A. Krezel1.731111113WOct 7 · 22:10Z. Nocun1.44491191M. Lewczuk2.6311114113LOct 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk2.638740H. Tkaczyk1.441111113LOct 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.637720Z. Nocun1.441111113LOct 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.914910J. Michalik1.801111113
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