TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Frantisek Krcil vs Bartosz Sulkowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117711811118116
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched: 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
117711811118116
H2H Frantisek Krcil 0–1 Bartosz Sulkowski Frantisek Krcil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5860.7%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
clears by 1.9pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krcil 1357 vs Sulkowski 1492
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krcil 20% vs Sulkowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krcil 40% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krcil +1 · Sulkowski -3
Sulkowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrcil 1.95 / Sulkowski 1.70
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sulkowski)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13265123
Krcil1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 9 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Sulkowski1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 185 of 313
Up 2–0, closes it97% 82 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it81% 131 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrcil0wins
AwaySulkowski1wins
Sulkowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrcilSulkowskiK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.042.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrcilSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 416 vs 619 / 138144.5%44.8%185 / 416 vs 619 / 1381Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiKrcil 1.95/Sulkowski 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krcil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 06:35F. Krcil3911111161B. Sulkowski4213135113
F. Krcil10
WOct 9 · 08:10F. Krcil1.85111178113K. Klocek1.8099111152WOct 9 · 06:30B. Wisniewski2.40138741F. Krcil1.50111111113LOct 9 · 05:40K. Sulkowski2.02511115113F. Krcil1.7111671162LOct 9 · 04:55F. Krcil2.2012450J. Lamperski1.601411113LOct 9 · 03:50F. Krcil—391191D. Wrobel—11118113LOct 2 · 14:40F. Krcil2.007430K. Kufel1.721111113WOct 2 · 13:05F. Krcil1.601011112123J. Przewlocki2.15129511102LOct 2 · 11:50F. Krcil1.988711111J. Zochniak1.7311117133WOct 2 · 10:10F. Krcil1.601111113B. Warpas2.159670WOct 2 · 09:00F. Krcil2.3011116113B. Czerwinski1.52791141
B. Sulkowski10
LOct 9 · 10:35J. Zochniak1.52117811113B. Sulkowski2.3071111692LOct 8 · 19:40B. Sulkowski2.25141090B. Czerwinski1.571612113LOct 8 · 18:30B. Sulkowski1.83911581M. Minda1.8311511113LOct 8 · 17:20B. Sulkowski2.25761171P. Perzynski1.5711117113WOct 8 · 16:05S. Brud1.571012891B. Sulkowski2.25121011113LOct 8 · 15:25B. Sulkowski1.73811117102A. Mugowski2.00119711123WOct 8 · 14:20K. Klocek2.604760B. Sulkowski1.411111113LOct 8 · 13:30M. Minda2.051171311113B. Sulkowski1.6561115472WOct 8 · 11:25D. Solilo1.7711611692B. Sulkowski1.95611711113LOct 8 · 10:35J. Zochniak2.05511811113B. Sulkowski1.6911911992
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