TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukas Krupnik Jr vs Jaroslav Sindler 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171151210––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 56 set 3, 12-10
56 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 21–21 Jaroslav Sindler Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Krupnik Jr beat Sindler 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik Jr 2.10 / Sindler 1.666
TT Cup · #13248575
Krupnik Jr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 85 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back34% 27 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 38
Sindler1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 145 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it69% 92 of 134
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik Jr4wins
AwaySindler6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik Jr60%3 of 5
AwaySindler80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik Jr5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S2Krupnik Jr1Sindler9n = 10Sindler took 9 of 10
S3Krupnik Jr7Sindler3n = 10Krupnik Jr took 7 of 10
S4Krupnik Jr3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S5Krupnik Jr4Sindler2n = 6Krupnik Jr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnik JrSindlerK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.744.1−4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnik JrSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 487 vs 437 / 84552.8%51.7%257 / 487 vs 437 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerKrupnik Jr 2.10/Sindler 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Krupnik Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 10:40L. Krupnik Jr44471111113J. Sindler4511118692
WSep 26 · 05:40L. Krupnik Jr501110116123J. Sindler47912511102
LSep 16 · 12:15L. Krupnik Jr45610111172J. Sindler46111248113
LSep 14 · 13:04L. Krupnik Jr341141181J. Sindler4413119113
LSep 14 · 11:40L. Krupnik Jr28651161J. Sindler4211119113
WSep 9 · 13:15L. Krupnik Jr45114118113J. Sindler4141191162
LSep 9 · 12:15L. Krupnik Jr29761151J. Sindler4111118113
WAug 11 · 11:45L. Krupnik Jr48117811113J. Sindler3961111742
LJul 29 · 14:45L. Krupnik Jr23116511J. Sindler4291111113
LJul 16 · 13:15L. Krupnik Jr51111181292J. Sindler54991114113
L. Krupnik Jr10
LOct 5 · 12:10L. Krupnik Jr2.25971161D. Stefek1.5711116113WOct 5 · 10:40J. Sindler1.5311118692L. Krupnik Jr2.38471111113LOct 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.46111114113L. Krupnik Jr2.50751651LOct 5 · 08:49A. Strelec1.6171111113L. Krupnik Jr2.20118761WOct 5 · 08:10A. Strelec1.4491111772L. Krupnik Jr2.63116511113LOct 5 · 07:10L. Krupnik Jr2.255880O. Skvor1.571111113LOct 5 · 05:40J. Matus1.611311113L. Krupnik Jr2.2011950LOct 3 · 21:10J. Matus1.44571111113L. Krupnik Jr2.6311113982WOct 3 · 20:10J. Jnr2.008580L. Krupnik Jr1.731111113LOct 3 · 19:10L. Krupnik Jr2.101411851J. Matus1.67121311113
J. Sindler10
LOct 5 · 11:40J. Sindler2.63111361172O. Skvor1.44515117113LOct 5 · 10:40J. Sindler1.5311118692L. Krupnik Jr2.38471111113LOct 5 · 09:40J. Sindler1.9191181282D. Stefek1.801191110113WOct 4 · 12:44V. Molin1.6711118882J. Sindler2.10541111113LOct 4 · 12:10M. Lorenc1.7381111113J. Sindler2.00118671LOct 4 · 11:10J. Sindler—5611101V. Molin—11117123LOct 4 · 09:40O. Skvor1.80711711113J. Sindler1.9111711982LOct 2 · 12:38J. Sindler1.539770P. Chvojka2.381111113WOct 2 · 11:40P. Chvojka2.10111112262J. Sindler1.67961411113LOct 2 · 11:10P. Sturma2.0051111113J. Sindler1.73117991
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