TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Wisniewski vs Blazej Warpas 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118811118119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched: 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeBlazej Warpas to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
118811118119––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 13–23 Blazej Warpas Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 13 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2861.3%Our read59.9%to break even at 1.67
clears by 1.4pp59.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.67 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Warpas
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-23 in 36
Warpas
Wrong
gap of 10 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1267 vs Warpas 1292
Warpas
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Warpas 40%
Warpas
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Warpas 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski +1 · Warpas -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Warpas) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warpas form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.09 / Warpas 1.67
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Warpas)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13246969
Wisniewski2.09
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 165 of 447
Down 0–1, comes back16% 43 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 146
Warpas1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 175 of 307
Up 2–0, closes it97% 89 of 92
Up 1–0, closes it83% 129 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski3wins
AwayWarpas7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarpas leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski75%3 of 4
AwayWarpas100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski4Warpas5n = 9Warpas took 5 of 9
S2Wisniewski1Warpas8n = 9Warpas took 8 of 9
S3Wisniewski6Warpas3n = 9Wisniewski took 6 of 9
S4Wisniewski4Warpas2n = 6Wisniewski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiWarpasWisniewski − WarpasBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.239.0−0.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiWarpasBasisWin rate · lifetime876 / 1856 vs 434 / 84547.2%51.4%876 / 1856 vs 434 / 845Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WarpasWisniewski 2.09/Warpas 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Warpas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 5 · 06:30B. Wisniewski4111811113B. Warpas36811891
WAug 18 · 08:35B. Wisniewski4111711123B. Warpas378118101
LAug 9 · 12:40B. Wisniewski4112811101B. Warpas4514118123
LJun 25 · 15:50B. Wisniewski4379111152B. Warpas48111178113
LJun 24 · 19:20B. Wisniewski279990B. Warpas331111113
LJun 23 · 17:20B. Wisniewski27107100B. Warpas351211123
WJun 22 · 15:25B. Wisniewski331111113B. Warpas237880
LMay 22 · 11:45B. Wisniewski35119691B. Warpas4181111113
LMay 21 · 14:35B. Wisniewski569141111112B. Warpas53111685133
B. Wisniewski10
WOct 5 · 05:15B. Wisniewski1.90111111113M. Lukaszewski1.75136991LOct 5 · 04:10M. Zwolinski1.901091111133B. Wisniewski1.80121157112LOct 5 · 03:25B. Wisniewski5.0071480M. Kolek1.151116113LOct 4 · 14:40B. Wisniewski2.054119111W. Iwasyszyn1.6811811133LOct 4 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.85691391A. Eliasz1.80111111113LOct 4 · 11:50B. Wisniewski2.82113117112T. Piotrowski1.38611911133WOct 4 · 10:10B. Wisniewski1.881211133A. Szoltysek1.82109110LOct 4 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0515811101P. Krukar1.6817118123WOct 4 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski1.87111091162B. Wisniewski1.83612115113LOct 4 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.901113123B. Wisniewski1.75811100
B. Warpas10
LOct 5 · 05:40M. Zwolinski1.9013101112113B. Warpas1.75111281452LOct 5 · 04:55B. Warpas4.006680M. Kolek1.221111113WOct 5 · 03:50B. Warpas3.231111113A. Sobel1.305680WOct 2 · 13:55B. Warpas1.8516711113J. Przewlocki1.851411941LOct 2 · 12:40B. Warpas3.40711971J. Zochniak1.2511811113LOct 2 · 11:25B. Warpas3.301113781B. Czerwinski1.2781511113LOct 2 · 10:10F. Krcil1.601111113B. Warpas2.159670LOct 2 · 09:25B. Warpas2.2010970K. Kufel1.581211113WOct 2 · 08:35B. Warpas1.958111111113J. Przewlocki1.7511791342WOct 2 · 06:55B. Warpas1.6011113113F. Krcil2.21961181
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